Saturday, December 3, 2011 - 4:02 PM

Starting Monday, 85 countries and 15 international organizations will gather in Bonn, Germany, to mark the 10th anniversary of the international conference that convened after the overthrow of the Taliban government. This convening provides an important opportunity to remove Afghanistan as a pawn from the region's chess board.
A decade after the 2001 Bonn I conference, Bonn II will serve as a ‘reality check' for where things stand today in Afghanistan, including the progress, or lack thereof, on security, economic development, and the on-again, off-again Afghan reconciliation process with the Taliban. Bonn II is also intended to signal a long-term international commitment to Afghanistan, extending beyond the looming 2014 withdrawal of U.S and NATO military forces.
Equally important, the conferenceshould focus on what kind of structures to leave behind to assure at least asemblance of stability for Afghanistan and the region. The international community did not do this after the Soviet withdrawal in 1989, with disastrous, destabilizing consequences that continue to this day.
The participants at Bonn II would do well to remind themselves of the Bonn Agreement of 2001, which contains a request to the United Nations from all the Afghan groups represented at the conference to "take the necessary measures to guarantee [emphasis added] the national sovereignty, territorial integrity and unity of Afghanistan as well as the non-interference by foreign countries in Afghanistan's internal affairs."
The Afghan groups knew what they were asking for, since they realize better than any non-Afghans that the root cause of most of their troubles for centuries has been the rivalries, intrigues, and ‘great games' played by outsiders in their affairs.
Belatedly, a start in this direction was made at the recent "Heartof Asia" regional conference in Istanbul. For the first time all the major countries of the wider region surrounding Afghanistan were in attendance -- from China to Iran, Russia to Saudi Arabia, and others in between, including Pakistan and India.
One report said this grouping read like a ‘who's who' of potential rivals if Afghanistan descends further into civil wars backed by outsiders. The fact that Pakistan, which has had a strong aversion to sitting with India around a table to discuss Afghanistan, agreed to the regional format in Istanbul was notable. Unless India and Pakistan's mutual suspicions and colliding interests in Afghanistan can be addressed, the prospects for a secure, stable and prosperous Afghanistan over the long term are dim.
The result of the conference was a document establishing "The Istanbul Process." It acknowledges that the only way to work toward Afghanistan's stability is through the commitment of all regional powers not to interfere in the internal affairs of Afghanistan. It included a statement of principles of regional cooperation listing political, economic and other confidence building measures to combat terrorism, control drug trafficking, and pursue enhanced trade and commerce across the region.
Now for the harder part, which has become harder still because of Pakistan's recent decision not to attend the Bonn conference in protest of the NATO bombing of two border posts that killed 24 Pakistani soldiers, a decision several countries have tried to reverse.
While an indispensable first step, the "Istanbul Process" will not, by itself, solve Afghanistan's meddling problems. It needs to be followed by concrete steps, especially a mechanism to monitor the implementation of the commitments assumed by the 13 countries that signed the Istanbul document.
Other issues will need to be addressed: Who will deal with complaints of violations? Should there be an international peacekeeping force of some sort? And how to settle, once and for all, the definite boundary between Pakistan and Afghanistan, since an undefined border is a breeding ground for suspicion and temptation for further interference and intervention.
Here the United Nations can play acrucial role. The "Istanbul Process" rightly emphasizes the central role of the UN in the area of maintenance of international peace and security. It is the only organization with the requisite credentials, experience and expertise to undertake this task.
The upcoming Bonn II conference should take this UN endorsement one important step further. After welcoming the establishment of the "Istanbul Process" and offering its full support for this regional initiative, Bonn II should call on the UN Secretary General to appoint an international facilitator to consult with all the parties about the best possible, and widely acceptable, way to finally respond to what the Afghans themselves called for ten years ago at the first Bonn conference, namely "to take the necessary measures to guarantee ...the non-interference by foreign countries in Afghanistan's internal affairs."
The Afghans have another way of putting this. At their 2010 national peace jirga, (or grand gathering), they said Afghanistan did not want to become again "a playground for regional conflicts." Now isthe time to work with the Afghans to close that "playground," for good.
Karl F. Inderfurth served as U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for South Asian Affairs and is a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Chinmaya R. Gharekhan served as India's special envoy for the Middle East and is a former U.N. Under Secretary General.
WOLFGANG RATTAY/AFP/Getty Images
EXPLORE:AFPAK, AFPAK POSTER 5, AFPAK CHANNEL, AL QAEDA, PAKISTAN, TALIBAN, TERRORISM, U.S. FOREIGN POLICY
Afghan sovereignty is doomed by Pakistan
All the treaties and agreements will NOT protect Afghan sovereignty as long as Pakistan is allowed to continue its support of Taliban insurgency.
Support of Pakistani State to use terrorism as an instrument of national policy to dominate Afghanistan will assure the failure of any agreements reached at Bonn-II.
Domestic political compulsions after ten long years of war fueled by Pakistan are leading United States to walk away from Afghanistan.
All the mirage of Bonn-II can’t varnish the fact that US has been unable to rein in on its ally to stop supporting export of terrorism.
If US really wants to win in Afghanistan, only course left is for US military to take the bull by the horn, invade and occupy Pakistan for a long time and clean it up from inside.
But US has neither the stamina nor the will and nor the resources left to do so and hence Afghanistan is destined to loose its sovereignty and Pakistan-installed Taliban rule is destined to return.
Doomed by Pakistan ? allegation without proof .
@Marty : Your words "All the treaties and agreements will NOT protect Afghan sovereignty as long as Pakistan is allowed to continue its support of Taliban insurgency." totally shows that you have indian mentality, i.e. without any proof, put the blame on Pakistan.
Nato and insurgents are continuously attacking from afghan border that is proved but you put blame on Pakistan. Wow
1. Nobody forced Pakistani government to facilitate relocation of Osama bin Laden from Sudan to Afghanistan in 1996. Benazir Bhutto’s democratic government of Pakistan chose to do so of its own free will.
2. As Sandy Berger, Clinton’s national security advisor told 9/11 Commission in 2004, Pakistani Army was the midwife of Taliban. UN report on Bhutto killing released on 4/15/10 confirmed this fact when it noted that "The PAKISTANI MILITARY ORGANIZED AND SUPPORTED THE TALIBAN TO TAKE CONTROL OF AFGHANISTAN IN 1996“.
3. Declassified DIA Washington D.C., "IIR (intelligence Information Report) Pakistan Involvement in Afghanistan," dated November 7, 1996 states how "Pakistan's ISI is heavily involved in Afghanistan," and also details different roles various ISI officers play in Afghanistan. Stating that Pakistan uses sizable numbers of its Pashtun-based Frontier Corps in Taliban-run operations in Afghanistan, the document clarifies that, "these Frontier Corps elements are utilized in command and control; training; and when necessary combat“.
4. Declassified U.S. Department of State, Cable "Pakistan Support for Taliban" from Islamabad dated Sept. 26, 2000 states that "while Pakistani support for the Taliban has been long-standing, the magnitude of recent support is unprecedented." In response Washington orders the U.S. Embassy in Islamabad to immediately confront Pakistani officials on the issue and to advise Islamabad that the U.S. has "seen reports that Pakistan is providing the Taliban with materiel, fuel, funding, technical assistance and military advisors. [The Department] also understand[s] that large numbers of Pakistani nationals have recently moved into Afghanistan to fight for the Taliban, apparently with the tacit acquiescence of the Pakistani government." Additional reports indicate that direct Pakistani involvement in Taliban military operations has increased.
5. Pakistani ISI Director General Mahmud Ahmad had asked Omar Sheikh (the kidnapper of Daniel Pearl) to send $100,000 from a Dubai bank account to Mohammed Atta (the lead 9/11 hijacker) one year before those attacks. Mohammad Atta used that $100,000 for flight training, living expenses and to purchase flight tickets on the day of 9/11 attacks in US and returned unspent $25,000 back to same Dubai account. Musharraf was forced to retire ISI director General Mahmud Ahmad after Wall Street Journal exposed General Ahmad as the chief financier of 9/11 attacks. Pakistani ISI was heavily involved in planning of 9/11 attacks as corroborated by former Senate Intelligence Committee Chairman Bob Graham.
Adm Mullen had following to say about America’s primary ally in its fight against terrorism, to the foreign news media on 1/13/2011: “I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, it [Pakistan] is the epicenter of terrorism in the world right now. It is absolutely critical that the safe havens in Pakistan get shut down. We cannot succeed in Afghanistan without that. It’s not just Haqqani Network anymore, or Al Qaeda or TTP (Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan), the Afghan Taliban, or LeT (Lashkar-e-Tayyeba), it’s all of them working together.”
Previous US ambassador Anne Patterson to Pakistan, wrote in a secret review in 2009 that ‘Pakistan's Army and ISI are covertly SPONSORING four militant groups - Haqqani‘s HQN, Mullah Omar‘s QST, Al Qaeda and LeT - and will not abandon them for any amount of US money‘, as diplomatic cables released by WikiLeaks show.
Ambassador Patterson had NO reason to mislead her own State Department and U. S. government.
Pakistan intends to continue its ‘proxy war’
Regardless of Pakistan signing the document at Istanbul conference, Pakistan has NO intention of ending its ‘proxy war’ in Afghanistan.
And so this Afghan tragedy is destined to continue.
Only way to end this Afghan tragedy is for US military to take the bull by the horn, invade and occupy Pakistan for a long time and clean it up from inside.
But US has neither the stamina nor the will and nor the resources left to do so and hence Pakistan is going to ultimately win and Pakistan-installed Taliban rule will return in the end.
@Marty: You haven't provided authenticated reference links
Tell the German Foreign Office to push for a positive outcome at Bonn by taking action here: http://www.togetherafghanistan.org/bonncampaign/bonntwitter.html
And check out the #CommitAtBonn feed from earlier today - experts, Afghan delegates and David Miliband discuss Afghanistan and hopes/fears for the Bonn conference.
(6)
HIDE COMMENTS LOGIN OR REGISTER REPORT ABUSE