Indian-Afghan strategic partnership: perceptions from the ground

By Dr. Shanthie Mariet D'Souza Share

On October 4, 2011, the day that India and Afghanistan signed an agreement on strategic partnership, I traveled from Kabul to Kandahar, getting what was for me a rare glimpse of the average Afghan's perception of Indian developmental activity in his country. What was striking was the widespread support I saw in the Pashtun heartland for an even greater Indian role in rebuilding the Afghan economy and society. There is demand in Kandahar for India to add to the lone refrigeration facility it built, as Afghan goods are otherwise sold to the Pakistanis, who keep them in their own refrigeration facilities and then sell them back to the Afghans at much higher prices.

In the Arghandab Valley, traditionally known for its pomegranates, locals seek help in establishing storage, processing and transit facilities. The airport manager at the Kandahar International airport, Ahmedullah Faizi, highlighted the need for more cargo flights to export pomegranates and dry fruits. On direct flights from Kandahar to Delhi, there has been a notable increase in the number of visitors to India for health care, tourism and education. Women who had been queuing up with their young children since 5 o'clock in the morning at an Indian medical facility in Kandahar expressed appreciation for India's assistance. In discussions with Shah Wali Karzai, Qayoom Karzai and Mehmood Karzai in Kandaharthe day after the agreement was signed, the Karzai brothers were clear on their desire for India to invest in cement factories, irrigation and power projects, road and canal building, and an increase the number of scholarships for Afghan students to study professional courses like management and public administration in India.

The agreement came on the heels of the killing of former President Burhanuddin Rabbani and the subsequent suspension of reconciliation talks with the Taliban, leading many to conclude that it was signed in order to isolate Pakistan. What these critics have missed is that the agreement was more than five months in the making, designed to address the long-standing demands of the Afghan people. A series of official visits and private deliberations since January of this year culminated in Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's announcement in May of the two countries' plans for a strategic partnership. During an interview in Kabul in the days following the establishment of the pact, former Interior Minister Ali Jalali said he "recognizes the agreement as a document officializing [sic] the close ties that already exist between the two countries." Shah Mahmood Miakhel, former Deputy Minister of Interior, strongly supported the agreement as "useful for reconstruction and stability of Afghanistan to prevent civil war or proxy war."

This development should silence the critics of India's aid-only policy. Some senior Indian officials and former diplomats I have spoken to warned that India could get caught in a "reputation trap," where it is overstretched economically in a country of "negative security interests." The agreement is an affirmation of India's maturing foreign policy in the region. It is also a natural corollary of the constructive role India has played in Afghan development efforts thus far. In the last ten years, India has contributed close to $2 billion in aid, making it Afghanistan's fifth largest bilateral donor, and garnering much appreciation from the local population. The success of development efforts in Afghanistan is clearly a key aspect of achieving stability there. Thus, the Afghan-Indian strategic agreement may be seen as the consolidation of gains made by India's soft power approach, as well as an expansion of India's plans to secure its national security interests. A strong, stable and democratic Afghanistan would reduce the dangers of the return of extremist forces to the seats of power, and the potential spillover of radicalism and violence that would destabilize the entire region.

The agreement is important in that it touches on a wide range of issues that are critical to sustaining progress in Afghanistan. India's decision to expand the training of Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF), particularly the Afghan National Police (ANP), is a significant step toward building local capacity for providing security. The trade and economic agreements in the pact are a reiteration of India's commitment to Afghanistan's economic growth, and its role as a "bridge" between South Asia and Central Asia. The emphasis on "regional economic cooperation" in the ASP indicates India's vision of binding the countries in the region through a mutually beneficial cooperative framework. Finally, the agreement's capacity building and educational initiatives are a pledge from India to invest in the future leadership of Afghanistan.

India is indeed looking beyond merely engaging the Karzai government, or indulging one ethnic or political faction. The strategic agreement ensures the continuity of India's initiatives by making them free from the politics, whims and personal fancies of future leaders. Assertions that India's foreign policy does not usually have a long-term vision no longer apply in the case of Afghanistan. An institutional mechanism for continued engagement in Afghanistan in the form of this agreement is bound to cultivate a broad range of stakeholders in that country, preventing a complete reversal later of the gains it makes in the short term.

New Delhi and Kabul have insisted on multiple occasions that they are willing to accommodate Pakistani interests in Afghanistan. President Karzai said after the signing of the agreement that the new partnership with India was not meant as a form of aggression toward Pakistan. One hopes that in spite of the criticisms the Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs has issued of the strategic pact, the country will see reason in adopting a mature and rational Afghan policy. As one Afghan political leader in Kandahar said to me, "if Pakistan has to compete with India in gaining good will among the Afghans, it has to be on the plank of reconstruction and development, and not acts of subversion and selective assassinations or providing sanctuaries [to militants]."

No commentary on Indian-Afghan relations would be complete without addressing the most pressing question: Can India sustain or even expand its activities in Afghanistan beyond the NATO withdrawal date in 2014? The strategic agreement has provided a much-needed mechanism for a continued relationship beyond this deadline, without being subjected to the vagaries of future governments in Kabul or New Delhi, or to the prevailing regional security environment. For Afghans it is surely a sign that India is a reliable partner who has stepped in firmly when the West seems to be in a hurry to quit.

Dr. Shanthie Mariet D'Souza is a Visiting Research Fellow at the Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS), an autonomous institute at the National University of Singapore (NUS). She can be reached at isassmd@nus.edu.sg. The views reflected in the paper are those of the author and not of the Institute.

AHMAD MASOOD/AFP/Getty Images

 

MARTY MARTEL

2:45 PM ET

October 26, 2011

US must support for Indo-Afghan partnership to survive

U. S. must actively support this India-Afghan strategic partnership to survive beyond the departure of American troops in 2014.

Afghanistan and U. S. must reach an agreement for the continued even if limited stationing of American troops for a very prolonged period of time, say like 25 years (similar to that in Japan and South Korea) for current Afghan government to survive beyond the departure of majority of American troops in 2014.

Will U. S. and Afghan government show the much-needed statesmanship to reach such an agreement?

Otherwise this Indo-Afghan partnership will be nothing more than a footnote in history if that.

 

DR. KUCHBHI

5:21 PM ET

October 26, 2011

Waiting for the barrage of Pakistanis

to point out that

- India has 16 (or is it 19?) of consulates in Afghanistan with the sole purpose of screwing Pakistan over (even though it has precisely 4)

- India is using Afghanistan to cause trouble in Balochistan (never mind the fact that no evidence has been produced to this effect or that the Balochis have been the result of targeted killings by the ISI and Paki army for so long, that they don't need anybody teaching them to be pissed off.

- the TWICE elected (agreed that the second time was dubious) Karzai should be replaced with the Taliban (never mind the fact that their suggested replacement is the Taliban which has no plans to stand for election.)

- the Indians are supporters of the Northern Alliance and don't want Pashtuns or a representative government in Kabul. Never mind the fact that Karzai is himself Pashtun. Or that most of the development dollars are being spent in Pashtun territory.

- India needs to be out of Afghanistan (even though the Pakis have nothing to offer the Afghans from an economic standpoint). They don't understand why the Afghans are so materialistic and dislike Islamic zealots who have no compunction about erasing minorities and even moderate fellow Pashtuns. Hard to satisfy these Afghans, I tell you!

- Pakistani security interests dictate the need to support murderers and worse in the form of the Haqqani network and the Hekmatyar faction. Afghanistan should be nothing more than "strategic depth" for the Pakis. Can't believe those Afghans are so ungrateful. I wonder why they hate the Pakis.

 

DR. KUCHBHI

12:26 PM ET

October 27, 2011

Or they might say that

Pakistan should not tolerate an Indian client state on its flank.

Never mind the fact that no such thing is on the cards.
Assuming it were, the lasting way to oppose this and what would be to Pakistan's advantage would be with development programs. These will make the Afghans feel closer to their brethren south of the Durand Line - given the spread of the Pashtun diaspora across both sides of the Durand Line. Instead, the Pakis will predictably use proxies, murderers, terrorists and jihadists to kill Afghans virtually pushing the Afghans into the arms of anybody who will help them fight their oppressors. Talk about a self fulfilling prophecy!!

 

STEVEN VAN

8:10 AM ET

October 27, 2011

Successful partnership

I believe that there will be a very successful partnership between India and Afghanistan, because this is a question of good will and it is high time both sides show their good will for the prosperity of the people!Man and Van

 

WICKBAM

3:54 PM ET

October 27, 2011

It's always the people who are alike that really hate each other

Pakistanis and Northern Indians
Northern Irish Protestants and Northern Irish Catholics
Croatians and Serbians
Germans and assimilated Jews
Patriots and Loyalists

You'll never hear a group of Maoris get together and say, "you know what, let's just kill all those Latvian bastards once and for all."