Friday, May 6, 2011 - 8:52 AM

Click: all of the AfPak Channel's coverage of the death of Osama bin Laden (FP).
Targeting trains
American
intelligence analysts have reportedly discovered, based on documents
and information recovered from Osama bin Laden's compound in Abbottabad,
Pakistan, that the slain al-Qaeda leader remained involved with
planning attacks against the United States, rather than acting only as
an inspirational figurehead in recent years (NYT, Post, Guardian, WSJ, BBC, CNN, Tel, Times, AFP).
Handwritten notes from February of 2010 indicated that al-Qaeda was
considering an attack timed to the 10th anniversary of the September 11,
2001 strikes on New York and Washington that involved targeting
railroads in the U.S., though officials said there was no evidence that
the plot was more than "aspirational."
The C.I.A. reportedly
maintained a safe house in Abbottabad, a military garrison town a few
hours' drive from the Pakistani capital of Islamabad, for months before
the May 2 raid, and developed an extensive network of local informants
and other sources (Post, NYT, Reuters).
The New York Times reports that the last time U.S. forces thought they
had bin Laden in their sights was in 2007 near Tora Bora, Afghanistan (NYT).
Today,
U.S. president Barack Obama is planning to meet with some members of
the Navy SEAL team that carried out the raid, which involved secret,
radar-evading helicopters (CBS, CNN, NYT).
Since 2009, the U.S. has been secretly increasing the ranks of
"hunter-killer commandos" in Afghanistan, and used this increase to "try
to pressure the Pakistanis themselves to move against militants" (WSJ). For more on the legal aspects of the bin Laden raid, read our sister newsletter, the Legal War on Terror (FP).
Al-Qaeda
has just released its first confirmation of bin Laden's death in a
statement posted on militant websites dated May 3, saying that his
blood "will not be wasted" (Reuters, AP).
Pakistani officials tell the Wall Street Journal that bin Laden
split from his number two, Ayman al-Zawahiri, around six years ago,
because bin Laden reportedly had money troubles and was losing
popularity in the network, though U.S. officials say they had not
heard of a split (WSJ). U.S. officials did say they had strong evidence that the funding for the al-Qaeda leader had been an issue.
Five years in the same room
One
of the three wives of bin Laden has reportedly told Pakistani
intelligence, which is carefully managing a "a steady drip of testimony"
from the women and children in their custody, that she had lived in the
same room in the Abbottabad compound with bin Laden for five or six
years (Guardian, McClatchy, WSJ, Guardian, AP, CNN, BBC, ABC).
Pakistani authorities say they will not allow the U.S. automatic access
to the survivors, who are believed to be held in at a medical facility
in Rawalpindi (ET, ET).
Pakistan's foreign ministry has said the women and children would be
returned to their countries of origin, though since Saudi Arabia revoked
bin Laden's citizenship in 1994, his relatives in the country would
have to adopt the children. Maulana Abdul Aziz, the head of the radical
Red Mosque in Islamabad, has reportedly offered to adopt bin Laden's
children (Toronto Star).
The Pakistani Army speaks
In
the first public reaction from the Pakistani Army to the U.S. raid that
killed bin Laden, Army chief Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani warned that a
repeat of the operation would not be tolerated and would lead to a
review of Pakistan's "level of military/intelligence cooperation with
the United States" (NYT, Post, Dawn, Geo, ET/Reuters, AP, WSJ, AJE, FT, FT, Guardian, Dawn). A press release from the Pakistani Army, available here,
also strongly warned neighboring India against conducting similar
operations, and stated that Pakistan's "strategic assets" -- nuclear
weapons -- are well-defended. Gen. Kayani also reportedly decided that
U.S. personnel in Pakistan -- around 275 at any given time -- should be
reduced to the "absolute minimum" (NYT, DT).
Chairman
of the Joint Chiefs Adm. Mike Mullen, who reportedly told Gen. Kayani
about the Abbottabad raid around 3am local time on Monday morning, said
via a spokesman that he had not been informed of any decisions by
Pakistan about the presence of U.S. military trainers there (DT, AFP).
Top Pentagon official Michele Flournoy said the Obama administration
does not have "any definitive evidence" that Pakistan knew bin Laden was
living in Abbottabad, which a new poll shows 72 percent of Americans
disagree with (NYT, CSM).
Members
of the U.S. Congress are calling for a complete review of the U.S.'s
some $3 billion in annual aid to Pakistan, after Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton on March 18 certified that Pakistan was making a
"sustained commitment" to ending support for Islamist militants, a key
condition for the provision of aid (CNN, McClatchy).
Pakistani president Asif Ali Zardari has "ordered a full court press"
from Pakistan's lobby in Washington to counter allegations that Pakistan
knew bin Laden was in Abbottabad or helped shelter him (Reuters).
Some 1,000 people near Abbottabad protested against the U.S. raid, and
in Quetta, the Islamist political party the JUI-F organized a rally to
"pay homage" to bin Laden (AFP, AFP). Protests also occurred in Multan and Peshawar.
Maj.
Gen. Richard Mills, a top U.S. commander who recently finished a tour
in southern Afghanistan, said that Mullah Omar, the leader of the
Taliban, "should be worried" following the raid on bin Laden's compound
because "it shows the Americans are focused" (AFP, Reuters).
The Post assesses that legislators seeking to use bin Laden's death to
renew calls to speed up the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan are
unlikely to succeed because they "still lack the support of either
party's leadership" and "still do not have an urgent piece of
legislation -- a bill central to the war effort -- to force a
distracted Congress to focus on Afghanistan" (Post).
Non-bin Laden news
In the first suspected U.S. drone strike
reported since April 22, missiles killed as many as 15 people,
including foreign militants and one civilian, in the Datta Khel area of
North Waziristan (AFP, AP, ET/Reuters, AP, Geo, Post, CNN, The News).
Clashes between militants and Pakistani security forces continue in
Mohmand, and in Dera Ismail Khan, Pakistani police killed two would-be
suicide bombers after their car refused to stop a checkpoint (DT, ET). In Quetta, unknown gunmen opened fire on around 50 people exercising on a soccer field, killing six (AP).
The
NYT reports that yesterday's rally in Kabul against the Karzai
government's reconciliation efforts toward the Taliban attracted more
than 10,000 people, mostly from northern Afghanistan (NYT).
New uniforms
Although
the Badminton World Federation has ruled that skirts are part of
badminton's official attire, women of the Federally Administered Tribal
Areas in northwest Pakistan are taking to the courts wearing hijabs and
with covered legs (ET). The FATA Sports Board has organized a tournament for May 16.
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"Members of the U.S. Congress are calling for a complete review of the U.S.'s some $3 billion in annual aid to Pakistan, after Secretary of State Hillary Clinton on March 18 certified that Pakistan was making a "sustained commitment" to ending support for Islamist militants, a key condition for the provision of aid..."
Only one thing should satify us that Pakistan is a serious ally - they bring us Mullah Omar and Ayman al Zawahiri dead or alive, and turn over any other of their aides for interrogation. Absent that, they have proven themselves to be at best an unreliable ally, at worst in collusion with terrorists.
We need to ask General Kayani - "Are you kidding?" We take out his trash and he threatens us by saying any further actions of the sort that killed bin Laden will not be tolerated. Who does he think he is? The Pakistani army and intelligence services are a joke. They could not find the world's #1 terrorist hiding in a $1 million house less than a mile from their military academy? They are the Keystone Kops of the world. Who's afraid of them?
Was it a bigger intel failure of Pakistan than what led to 9/11?
Do you really think Osama would trust ISI with his personal security?
He played a clever gimmick by hiding in plain sight. I will not be surprised if his front-men - the Waziris reported to own the house - had become CIA or ISI's informers in North Waziristan to keep the spooks from suspecting their links with OBL.
Kayani is not unhappy with OBL's death, like most of us in Pakistan who consider this good riddance. However, US lack of trust, after ten years of alliance and thousands of Pakistani live sacrificed, must lead to a serious review of relations. Which nation is ready to continue suffering the doubts and ire of the very people it is calling friends?
Kayani should not postpone such a review till next US action. He must do it now.
(2)
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