Wednesday, May 4, 2011 - 1:31 PM

ISLAMABAD -- After a team of helicopter-borne U.S. Navy Seals stormed a compound in the densely populated Bilal Town neighborhood in the Pakistan Army town of Abbottabad, Osama bin Laden was dead. Pakistan was notified after the operation. The U.S. Congress and citizens alike are dumbfounded that America's archenemy was hiding in the plain sight of the Pakistan military and intelligence rather than in the mountainous frontier of the tribal areas. Former President George W. Bush famously declared that the United States would smoke him out of his cave.
However, Abbottabad is far from a cave. The small city is about a three hour drive from Islamabad, reached through roads that trace the modest altitude climb. The town is a hilly and verdant spot where many Pakistanis retreat for the summer when the plains are scorching. It's near some of the famous hiking spots such as Natiagali. Abbottabad is covered in most guidebooks for Pakistan, including Lonely Planet. Most notably, the hill-town is also home to Pakistan's Military Academy and indeed, Bin Laden's massive, albeit non-luxurious, lair was a mere kilometer from this prestigious institution and the security that accompanied it.
Analysts and U.S. officials speaking on and off the record have speculated about the possible support bin Laden had from Pakistan's military and intelligence agencies. It stretches credulity to the breaking point to believe that someone in Pakistan's military and intelligence agencies did not know about Bin Laden's whereabouts, and even afforded the world's most wanted fugitive a support network. John Brennan, President Barack Obama's top counterterrorism adviser said that it is inconceivable that bin Laden did not have some support network within Pakistan, though he stopped short of saying that this support was official.
It is possible that Pakistan's military and intelligence agencies succumbed to a profound level of incompetence. But ultimately such speculation is nonproductive. Judgment should be deferred until the numerous investigations are done.
Many good questions and no good answers
Whether this happened due to incompetence or complicity, Pakistan has much explaining to do. Nearly a year ago, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton boldly declared, "I'm not saying that they're at the highest levels, but I believe that somewhere in this government are people who know where Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda is, where Mullah Omar and the leadership of the Afghan Taliban is, and we expect more co-operation to help us bring to justice, capture or kill those who attacked us on 9/11." Pakistan has long denied that bin Laden was on Pakistani territory. Notwithstanding these demurrals, Clinton was right.
The bin Laden imbroglio is clearly a further strain on already-troubled U.S.-Pakistan relations. American legislators and other officials have grown wary of continuing to provide military and civilian support to Pakistan given that the state continues to aid and abet an array of U.S. foes including the Afghan Taliban and the Haqqani network, whose operatives are responsible for the deaths of thousands of Americans as well as the citizens of Afghanistan and NATO countries. Pakistan continues to aid and abet groups like Lashkar-e-Taiba. In light of this evidence, it is baffling that Clinton certified that Pakistan is cooperating to eliminate these groups and even cease state support of them, as required by the conditions on security assistance imposed by the Kerry-Lugar-Berman aid legislation. She made this certification on March 18, 2011. We now know that she did so even while U.S. intelligence agencies and the White House were gathering a picture of this important al-Qaeda safe-house sprawled out comfortably amidst Pakistan's military and intelligence agencies.
The American Congress and citizens alike want answers. Since 9/11, Pakistan has been allocated some $20 billion in U.S. assistance and lucrative military reimbursements to compensate Pakistan's for its costs incurred in supporting the global war on terror -- all the while supporting U.S. adversaries in that same war.
In the wake of this outrage -- which is merely the last in a series of concatenated outrages -- Congress is considering cutting off assistance to Pakistan. While these urges are understandable, this would be a strategic blunder for several reasons. The United States should remain committed to Pakistan despite the obvious temptations to retreat and take its checkbook with it.
First, bin Laden is dead. The threat posed by al-Qaeda and other international and regional terrorist groups is not. The United States must resist all immediate impulses and remain stone-cold focused on the longer term goal of regional stability.
Second, Pakistanis are not the same as their government and they are not interchangeable with their military and intelligence agencies. Withdrawing aid from Pakistan would hurt Pakistanis more than the Pakistani Army.
Third, even if someone in the Pakistani government helped bin Laden remain in Pakistan undetected, it is highly unlikely that the civilian government was involved. Indeed, Pakistan's civilian governments have been long left out of national security affairs, whether domestic or foreign. Foreign policy is set by Army General Headquarters, not by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. It would be a mistake to again punish Pakistan's civilians for the crimes of omission and commission by the security agencies that have done much to vitiate these same institutions.
Fourth, Pakistan remains at the core of U.S. national security interests. Its security competition with India is dangerous. The United States has not yet learned the limits of diplomacy: it cannot engage India strategically (namely, the provision of the civilian nuclear deal) without considering the negative impact on its engagement with Pakistan. After the U.S. civilian-nuclear deal, Pakistan has set its own nuclear machinery into overdrive. It now has the fastest growing arsenal in the world. Equally important, Pakistan will remain a locus of terrorist groups operating in and beyond the South Asia region for time to come.
Engage civilians, civilians, and more civilians
Engaging and investing in Pakistan's civilian government and citizens is paramount and should not be held hostage to the evolving bin Laden drama. Pakistanis have generally been fed anti-American rhetoric infused with a stylized history of bilateral ties and outright fictions. The U.S. diplomatic mission in Islamabad seems incapable of affecting this discourse. Yet, it must. While Pakistanis decry America as the perfidious "Great Satan," the simple fact is that the United States has done more for Pakistanis than any other country. Americans should be proud that U.S. development assistance has helped educational outcomes and improved maternal and child health, among other development successes, in Pakistan. These successes have not been as dramatic as some would hope, but they are still important.
It is also a fact that the policies of the United States in the Muslim world and the way it has engaged Pakistan in particular gives credence to these most unfavorable depictions of the United States. Pakistanis have genuine gripes about U.S. policies towards Israel and its treatment of Palestinians, U.S. relations with Middle East dictators and Gulf State autocratic monarchs, and wars to promote democracy while simultaneously bolstering Pakistan's string of military dictators at the expense of its parliamentary democratic moorings. These legitimate grouses coexist comfortably with the baseless conspiracies and distorted versions of U.S.-Pakistan bilateral history. The United States needs to address these facts and fictions forthrightly. It cannot do so from the comforts of Fortress America and by engaging only Pakistan's English media.
The only way to disprove Pakistanis' deepest doubts about U.S. commitment to Pakistanis and their democratic development is to remain focused on the goal of a democratic, civilian-governed Pakistan, however elusive and fraught that goal may be. That is the most likely -- albeit far from certain -- route to a Pakistan that is increasingly at peace with itself and its neighbors.
The United States must also learn to help Pakistan in ways that are more economically productive. Pakistan needs more trade, not more aid. Pakistan has long asked for access to U.S. textile markets and has long been denied. It is an absurd commentary upon U.S. legislative functioning that the interests of U.S. textile lobbies have trumped those of U.S. national security interests. Pakistan also needs technical support to improve its bureaucracy, to help its national and provincial assemblies do their jobs better, to enable civilian institutions to over time take a larger role in security governance, and to help Pakistan's dilapidated civilian security agencies become capable tof handling the threats its country faces.
President Obama has shown courage, sagacity, and resolution in his decision-making thus far. He needs to work assiduously to ensure that the United States maintains its resolve to stay engaged with Pakistan. To abandon Pakistan because of the flawed and dangerous choices of its military and intelligence agencies is to miss the point: the United States needs to help Pakistanis help themselves. This should not be driven by altruism. The security of the United States and its allies depends on it.
C. Christine Fair is an assistant professor at Georgetown University and the author of Cuisines of the Axis of Evil and Other Irritating States.
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Democracy is just a façade created to please and milk Uncle Sam
Pakistan’s civilian government is in cahoot with Pakistani military when it comes to sheltering and supporting the terrorists as Ms. Fair has to know.
As such democracy is just a façade allowed by Pakistani Army to please Uncle Sam as Ms. Fair has to know. Pakistani Army owns and operates Pakistani State, allowing and destroying the ‘democratic façade’ whenever it chooses to do so. Witness how civilian government had to reverse itself and accept continuance of Pakistani ISI chief under Army pressure.
It was Pakistan’s civilian prime minister Gilani who advised Afghan President Karzai to dump U. S. in favor of China just recently as Ms. Fair has to know.
Nobody forced it but it was Pakistan’s democratic government that chose of its own free will, to facilitate relocation of Osama bin Laden from Sudan to Afghanistan in 1996.
Osama bin Laden had publicly congratulated Pakistani government for exploding world’s first Islamic nuclear bomb during one of his visits to Pakistan in 1998.
Osama bin Laden had met former Pakistan prime minister Nawaz Sharif five times, so said Khalid Khwaja, a former official of Pakistan's Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) who himself arranged the meetings. Osama bin Laden had contributed generously to Nawaz Sharif’s campaign in 1990 and 1996 Pakistani elections according to same source.
So it is our fault, we need to do more?
Christine seems to be carrying water for the ISI and Pak military. What will it take for her to conclude Pakistan is a state sponsor of terror and should be treated as such? No more aid. Period. Any Republican who supports aid to Pakistan, yes you too Boehner and Mike Rogers, lose my vote.
We need to think out of the box.
Christine:
It seems the Pakistanis can do anything and get away with it because of the institutional inertia among the US establishment. It is time for change. Enough is enough.
Some observations:
1. Pakistan is ruled by an oligarchy of rich feudal land owners and the Army who use the Mullahs and the assorted Jehadis for their convenience. A bulk of the US aid goes into their pockets. These rich feduals hardly pay any taxes. So yes, our tax-payer money in the form of direct aid, and indirect aid from the IMF and the World Bank props up this ruling oligarchy. They DO NOT help the common Pakistani who is expected to smoke the opium of Jehad.
Without our aid the oligarchy would be forced to pay taxes and run the system like a normal country.
2. Throughout her history, the US has been the primary benefactor of the Pakistani Army. Our aid allows Pakistan to spend a huge amount on its defense forces. It allows the Pakistani Army to dominate the destiny of that piece of land. The shiny F-16s armed with AMRAAMs, or the Harpoons, or the TOWs were given to the Pakistani Army not to fight the Taleban, but to dazzle the masses and keep a check on India.
3. We facilitated the Pakistani Nuclear bomb by allowing proliferation of nuclear technology. We went to the extent of forcing NATO governments to release Pakistanis arrested while smuggling nuclear material.
The Pakistani Army would not have taken over the nation if the US had not assisted it. Our commitment to democracy in Pakistan has been farcical; we have encouraged coups whenever it suited whatever defined our interests then. Further the idea of a democracy where a huge numbers of farm workers vote for who ever their feudal lord asks them to is bogus. The hold of that oligarchy has to be broken. Unfortunately, it is our tax dollars which keeps that oligarchy in place.
As long as the Pakistani Army has any control, they will nurture terrorism. They will do it because IT PAYS WELL, thanks to the ossified thinking of the US State Department and the generosity of the US tax-payers.
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The US needs to seriously review its relationship with Pakistan. We are stuck in the thinking that Pakistan is too vital, too big to fail, to important, to what not with very little thought about the cost we pay for keeping Pakistan alive.
President Obama went against the thinking of the old guard who berated him for even considering direct US action within Pakistan. That out of the box, unconventional thinking has to be taken to the next level.
Why shouldn't we encourage Afghanistan to stop recognizing the Durand Line? The Pakistanis anyway claim that those areas are out of their control but howl at the thought of our troops cleaning up the region. Get rid of that artificial line and let the Pashtun nation unite. Then clean the area up without having to worry about the honor and dignity of the Pakistani Army.
Why shouldn't we recognize a free Baluchistan? Those poor Baloch have been fighting for their independence for more than six decades, only to get bombed by the F-16s paid for our tax-dollars. An independent Baluchistan will offer the US direct sea access to Afghanistan. It will be a critical US ally in an area of vital strategic interests and help facilitate the trade route to Central Asia.
American interests are served better with a balkanized Pakistan cut to size. We have no control over the Pakistani Army in spite of the protection money we pay them. It is time we face up to the reality.
Ms. Fair is certainly passionate in her advocacy but VICTOR_47 makes a much more rational and fact-based argument. If there is an idea of Pakistan, then it will survive balkanization and prevail. If not, we will continue to suffer the consequences of its dysfunction. This dysfunction is only nurtured and strengthened by our military/financial aid.
Christine: Pakistanis are great at wooing but...
Christine:
I have been following your articles, media appearances, and social media activities. I can not help but notice of how enamored you are of Pakistanis. Most of your articles reflect the Pakistani perspective on every issue.
This is not surprising, since the Pakistanis put a huge amount of effort in keeping their American visitors in comfort; literally treating them like royalty. Since much of the Pakistani Elite has had a strong connection with the West, they know how to speak "American" while they are wining, dining, and wooing their American visitors.
Unfortunately those pleasant personal experiences are affecting US National interests. I hope you do give a thought to this issue during your current visit to Pakistan.
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Educating Christine about some internet vernacular:
Pakistan means the land of the pure. (Pak = Pure). Many consider the current state of Pakistan as Impure (Na-Pak). However Na-Pak is not easy on the tongue. Enter the Islamic belief of the pig being a dirty, and hence an impure animal. You combine those two ideas and you get the moniker "Porky", a not so subtle allusion to Na-Pak-Istan, but a lot easier on the tongue.
and why would the americans spend tax payers money on pakistani civilians, what strategic service would pakistani civilians do for them in return? apart from acting poor, needy and brown for the white mans burden...
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