Tuesday, February 22, 2011 - 10:17 AM

The Rack: Steve Coll, "U.S.-Taliban talks," New Yorker; Stanley McChrystal, "It takes a network," Foreign Policy; Ahmed Rashid, "How Obama lost Karzai," Foreign Policy.
Firestorm
The
Guardian broke the story that Raymond Davis, the American detained in
Lahore for fatally shooting two Pakistanis he said were trying to rob
him late last month, worked for the CIA as a security contractor, and
American outlets were quick to follow up, stating that the U.S.
government had asked them to withhold Davis's CIA affiliation out of
concerns for his safety in prison (Guardian, Guardian, Guardian, WSJ, NYT, Post, LAT, ABC, Reuters, AFP, Tel).
Davis was essentially a security guard providing physical protection to
those affiliated with the embassy and consulate, attached to the CIA's
Global Response Staff, and was reportedly carrying out "area
familiarization" -- basic surveillance designed to allow operatives to
become familiar with their surroundings -- at the time of the shooting
on January 27. The relatives of one of those killed said they would turn
down any offers of compensation (Times).
Davis
has also worked for the security contracting company formerly known as
Blackwater, according to U.S. officials, and the CIA team he was
affiliated with in Lahore reportedly tracked Pakistani militant groups,
including Lashkar-e-Taiba, though U.S. officials deny that Davis himself
was involved in militant surveillance (Guardian, NYT, AP, ET, Reuters).
Davis is currently being held in a separate part of the Lahore jail
which also houses some 4,000 militants; his guards have had their guns
taken away out of concern that one of them may try to kill him, and dogs
are tasting his food to make sure it's not poisoned (WSJ).
The Journal reports that the ISI's decision to leak Davis's CIA ties
"reflect[s] Pakistani anger over U.S. conduct in the case;" the U.S.
maintains Davis has diplomatic immunity and should be released
immediately.
U.S. secretary of state Hillary Clinton phoned
Pakistani prime minister Yousuf Raza Gilani to express as much, and
Gilani reiterated that Davis's status will be determined by a court in
Lahore (ET, Daily Times, AFP, Dawn, The News, The News).
The Punjab government reportedly refused a request from the U.S.
consulate in Lahore to remove surveillance cameras from Davis's cell (ET). Pakistan's Express Tribune reports that Davis is on a hunger strike, which the embassy denies (ET). Bonus read: C. Christine Fair on diplomatic duplicity (FP).
Return of the drones
And
after a pause of nearly a month, which some analysts and Pakistani
officials attributed to Davis's detention and U.S. officials said was
related to the weather, a pair of suspected U.S. drone strikes killed around a dozen suspected militants in North and South Waziristan (Reuters, AFP, AP, BBC, The News, Geo/AFP, Newsweek).
An Iraqi al-Qaeda figure who managed the group's finances in Pakistan
was said to be killed in the South Waziristan strike. Greg Miller
reports that in spite of the escalated pace of the drone strikes under
the Obama administration, "the number of high-ranking militants being
killed as a result has either slipped or barely increased" (Post).
Each strike reportedly costs more than $1 million. And Ken Dilanian
writes that the U.S. chose to forgo a chance to target Sirajuddin
Haqqani, a leader of the Haqqani insurgent network, because women and
children were nearby, and that civilian deaths from the program have
fallen (LAT).
The
bodies of two men accused of spying for the Americans and helping
coordinate drone strikes were found on the road between Miram Shah and
Datta Khel in North Waziristan on Sunday (The News, AP).
The Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan released a video showing the execution of
former ISI official Col. Imam, who had been kidnapped last spring by a
group called the Asian Tigers, in the presence of TTP chief Hakimullah
Mehsud, who was once believed killed in a drone strike (The News, Tolo, ET).
The TTP claimed Col. Imam had helped provide information to the CIA to
target Hakimullah with drone strikes; Col. Imam's family said he had
gone to the region to try and negotiate a ceasefire between the militant
group and Pakistani security forces.
Clashes between Pakistani
security forces and local militants continue in Mohmand and Orakzai, and
a bombing in the southwestern Pakistani city of Quetta killed one (Daily Times, ET).
Neighbors
An
Indian appeals court has upheld a conviction and death sentence for the
sole surviving gunman from the Mumbai terrorist attacks in 2008, Ajmal
Kasab (WSJ, AJE, ToI, NDTV, AP, ET). He could still appeal to India's supreme court.
The Post examines trade between India and Pakistan, where commerce is all but "choke[d] off...under a dizzying web of rules" (Post).
Some research suggests that bilateral trade, currently around $2
billion annually, could grow 20 to 50 times under more liberal trade
policies; illicit trade is estimated at as much as $10 billion per year.
Deadly weekend
A
pair of bombings shook Afghanistan this weekend, killing as many as 78:
38 were killed, including 21 Afghan security officers, in a
seven-person coordinated suicide attack on a branch of the Kabul Bank in
Jalalabad claimed by the Taliban and carried out as Afghans were
collecting their salaries (FT, NYT, Pajhwok, WSJ, Post, Pajhwok, AP, AFP, Reuters);
and up to 40 people all believed to be civilians were killed on Monday
when a Taliban suicide bomber seeking to stop sign-ups for the
NATO-backed Afghan Local Police program attacked a census office in
Kunduz (NYT, Tolo, AFP, Pajhwok, AP, BBC, McClatchy, CNN, AJE, WSJ).
The ALP has met with mixed reviews from Afghans interviewed by the AP,
some of whom are concerned about the presence of warlord-led militias (AP).
NATO
disputes the governor of Kunar's assertion that joint Afghan-coalition
operations in the Egal Valley of the eastern Afghan province killed more
than 60 civilians in recent days, stating that video footage shows 36
insurgents carrying weapons (Post, NYT, WSJ, Pajhwok, Reuters, LAT, AP, Times).
NATO is sending a team to the area to investigate. Participants in a
meeting at the presidential palace in Kabul claim that top U.S. and NATO
commander Gen. Davis Petraeus suggested that "some pro-Taliban parents
in contact with a government official decided to create a civilian
casualty claim to pressure international forces to cease the [operation
in Kunar]. They burned hands and legs of some of their children and
sent them to the hospital," assertions which reportedly deeply offended
some attendees of the meeting (Post). Gen. Petraeus declined to comment.
Carlotta
Gall reports that some mid-level Taliban commanders are war-weary and
reluctant to return to some battlefields after having fled coalition
offensives in Afghanistan by seeking refuge in Pakistan, in spite of
pressure from the Taliban's leadership in Pakistan, which is encouraging
them to return (NYT).
The Karzai government's High Peace Council is sending a delegation to
the U.S. prison at Guantanamo to discuss the possible release of some
Taliban detainees as a gesture toward reconciliation with the insurgent
group (AP).
And
the U.S. Treasury Department imposed sanctions on Friday against the
New Ansari Money Exchange, one of the largest lending houses in
Afghanistan, and 15 of its top executives on allegations of laundering
billions of dollars of drug money (AP, NYT, Post).
A downhill battle
Two
sisters from Pakistan's northern Gilgit-Baltistan province have won
gold and silver medals in the giant slalom in the recent South Asian
Winter Games in India, the first time Pakistani women have medaled in
skiing (ET). The Wali sisters grew up in Ratto, a snowy area of the Astore Valley, where their father was posted in the army.
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Duplicitous Pakistan has U. S. over the barrel
Dysfunctional Pakistan has poor U. S. over the barrel. US can NOT use its aid leverage to force Pakistan to stop supporting terrorist groups who kill US/NATO troops in Afghanistan day in and day out because US needs Pakistan’s help in ferrying supplies to those very US/NATO troops.
Sooner or later U. S. has to stop tolerating Pakistan’s duplicity - on the one hand it allows US to ferry supplies to US troops in Afghanistan over its soil since it pays billions to Pakistan and on the other hand it shelters, nurtures and supports the very groups who kill those very US troops in Afghanistan day in and day out.
This charade has been going on since 2001 when the Bush administration allowed Musharraf to spirit away by airlift hundreds, if not thousands, of Taliban operatives cornered by the advancing Northern Alliance in Kunduz in November, 2001. Pakistan relocated those Taliban cadres including Mullah Mohammed Omar in Quetta, the provincial capital of Baluchistan (now moved to Karchi by Pakistani ISI to shelter them from US drone attacks) and Haqqani network (HQN) in North Waziristan from where Mullah Omar’s QST and Haqqani’s HQN have been planning raids in Afghanistan ever since.
Only solution is what Richard Armitage threatened Pakistan with in 2001 - invade and occupy Pakistan to root out the terrorists operating from there since Pakistani government owned by Pakistani army is unwilling to do so.
But after ten long years of war, US has neither the desire nor the resources to save Pakistan from itself.
So this Pakistani drama of ’running with the hares while hunting with the hounds’ and US drama of ’fighting the terrorists and supporting the state that shelters the terrorists’ will continue until US looses the face and withdraws from Afghanistan in disgrace.
Duplicitous Pakistan has U. S. over the barrel
Dysfunctional Pakistan has poor U. S. over the barrel. US can NOT use its aid leverage to force Pakistan to stop supporting terrorist groups who kill US/NATO troops in Afghanistan day in and day out because US needs Pakistan’s help in ferrying supplies to those very US/NATO troops.
Sooner or later U. S. has to stop tolerating Pakistan’s duplicity - on the one hand it allows US to ferry supplies to US troops in Afghanistan over its soil since it pays billions to Pakistan and on the other hand it shelters, nurtures and supports the very groups who kill those very US troops in Afghanistan day in and day out.
This charade has been going on since 2001 when the Bush administration allowed Musharraf to spirit away by airlift hundreds, if not thousands, of Taliban operatives cornered by the advancing Northern Alliance in Kunduz in November, 2001. Pakistan relocated those Taliban cadres including Mullah Mohammed Omar in Quetta, the provincial capital of Baluchistan (now moved to Karachi by Pakistani ISI to shelter them from US drone attacks) and Haqqani network (HQN) in North Waziristan from where Mullah Omar’s QST and Haqqani’s HQN have been planning raids in Afghanistan ever since.
Only solution is what Richard Armitage threatened Pakistan with in 2001 - invade and occupy Pakistan to root out the terrorists operating from there since Pakistani government owned by Pakistani army is unwilling to do so.
But after ten long years of war, US has neither the desire nor the resources to save Pakistan from itself.
So this Pakistani drama of ’running with the hares while hunting with the hounds’ and US drama of ’fighting the terrorists and supporting the state that shelters the terrorists’ will continue until US looses the face and withdraws from Afghanistan in disgrace.
(2)
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