The AFPAK Channel
Inside the war for central asia Twitter Facebook RSS
Daily Brief Latest from the Blog Latest from FP

What to do with Pakistan's HEU?

By Philip Maxon, December 13, 2010 Share

One of the first cables released by the website WikiLeaks was a May, 2009 cable regarding the delay of removing High Enriched Uranium (HEU) by the U.S. from Pakistan's Atomic Research Reactor-1 (PARR) near Islamabad. In 2007, the Pakistani government agreed to allow the U.S. to ship the unknown quantity of HEU back to the U.S. However, in 2009 when U.S. technical experts arrived to discuss the fuel transfer, the Pakistani government balked for fear of local media backlash of the U.S. "stealing" Pakistani fuel. The event provided one more example of the poor relationship between the two countries and the U.S. not respecting Pakistani national concerns.

PARR-1 is part of the Pakistan Institute of Nuclear Science and Technology (PINSTECH) complex of three research reactors near Islamabad. Under the 1955 Atoms for Peace program, the United States provided uranium fuel and technical assistance to Pakistan to build the reactor. Ground broke in 1965, with it coming online in 1966.

PARR-1 is a 10 Megawatt pool type research reactor (fuel rods at the bottom of a pool of open water, the typical design for most reactors) that used HEU to conduct physics experiments and the creation of isotopes for medical purposes. In addition, the facility was put under full scope International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards to ensure Pakistan did not misuse the HEU for weapons. Safeguards are country specific and but generally involve IAEA personnel applying monitoring tools to ensure compliance that no amount of HEU is diverted for weapons construction.

The U.S. supplied a limited amount of HEU for PARR-1, which Pakistan could not replace once it ran out. As a result, in 1991, Pakistan removed the HEU from the reactor and replaced itl with its own 20% low enriched uranium (similar to what is used in the Tehran Research Reactor). The U.S. HEU was stored on site, where it remains. The U.S. fears that the HEU, perhaps enough to fashion the core for an improvised nuclear device, could fall into the wrong hands.

Securing HEU and loose nuclear material is a key nonproliferation effort not just in Pakistan but around the world, as evidenced by the latest announcement of Belarus giving up its HEU. However, the relationship between Pakistan and the U.S. regarding nuclear issues is not on the same page. The U.S. views Pakistan's nuclear arsenal and infrastructure through the counterterrorism prism, while Pakistan views their arsenal through the lens of its strategic rivalry with India.

While the removal of the HEU is an important nonproliferation step, the way the U.S. handled the removal, just declaring it should remove it since it was its own fuel, failed to put into context fears of the U.S. removing the only deterrent Pakistan has against India. Even if the fuel was not Pakistani, nor involved with their nuclear program, the public perception of the United States trumping Pakistani sovereignty resulted in the freezing of the fuel transfer.

This perception originates in the larger belief that the United States already infringes on Pakistani sovereignty in regards to drone strikes, the often misplaced notion of large numbers of U.S. troops in Pakistan, and the fear that America will swoop in and remove Pakistan's nuclear arsenal. The perception is largely false, but remains imbedded in Pakistani discourse, and any agreement that reaches the press that highlights nuclear fuel going back to the U.S. from Pakistan would tap right into this perception. 

Instead, the U.S. should get on the same page with Pakistan and put nuclear security in the same context with strategic stability with India. If the U.S. fuel is to remain, then the U.S. should consult with Pakistan to ensure it is in fact secure, under the same security as its other nuclear facilities and nuclear weapons storage areas. The U.S. should continue financial and technical assistance to Pakistani personnel to secure its own material and weapons. It can accomplish security at the facility by increasing human and electronic monitoring, redundant security measures such as stronger gates, and if not already done so, placing the material is large, heavy, tightly controlled concrete casks.

U.S. officials can coordinate with Pakistani leaders to be regularly updated on the security of the facility as well as access to the HEU to verify security.  In addition, Pakistan should continue to work with the IAEA, since the facility is under safeguards, to ensure credible international assurance that the facility is indeed safe and secure.

The U.S. and Pakistan should refrain from any public discourse on the transfer as any public discussion would only be detrimental, as it is unlikely Pakistani leaders could overcome the perception of U.S. invasion of sovereignty, however misplaced. 

Most importantly, the U.S. needs to deemphasize the importance of the security of Pakistan's arsenal and HEU. It is important, but not as important as the strategic relationship with India or Pakistani efforts to fight insurgents in the tribal areas. Removal of the HEU would be ideal and may occur over time. However, it appears that Pakistan currently does not trust American intentions, publicly or privately. Only through working on confidence building measures through regional issues between Pakistan and India can Pakistan and U.S. get on the same page on nuclear security.

Philip Maxon was formerly a  program associate with the New America Foundation's Nuclear Strategyand Nonproliferation Initiative, and works with New America's National Security Studies Program.

TIZIANA FABI/AFP/Getty Images

 

CEOUNICOM

5:22 PM ET

December 13, 2010

Pakistani 'sovereignty'

Ok, let's see...

How many leaders has pakistan elected since 1947 who weren't

a) murdered
b) overthrown in a coup
c) part of a corrupt dynastic political clique

?
....

next trivia question: can or does Pakistan maintain authority across the entirety of its territory?... does it maintain control of its territorial boundaries?

Does it maintain direct civilian control and oversight of its military and intelligence institutions?

We could go on...

Point being: 'sovereignty' is not a de facto aspect of nation-states; it is something that must be developed and maintained and recognized by others as legitimate...often even when its not.

As far as Pakistan goes, they tend to fail on a number of basic fundamentals when it comes to claims of sovereignty. They exert no authority over the tribal areas - nay, even pay off many tribal leaders who act against Pakistan's interests - they can't control their own borders, and they can't control their own intelligence agency from acting against foreign countries without civilian oversight.

Yes, it is important to treat them as though they ARE a sovereign nation, and it is important to maintain the pantomime of mutual respect between the US and Pakistan.... but who are we really kidding? The Pakistani people? I doubt it. I am aware calling a spade a spade is not the best policy as far as foreign affairs goes... and that there is a certain amount of required duplicity and disingenuousness in order for relations to work smoothly, but to off-hand assume that Pakistani 'sovereignty' is something to be treated as Well-Established and Sacrosanct is a bit of a stretch of the imagination. It's OK for people to lie to themselves for political purposes....but the worst possible thing is when people begin to forget where the lies begin and end....

 

SAIF UR REHMAN

2:38 PM ET

December 14, 2010

what pitty excuses!

so,
you define the standards of soverignity of the countries across the globe and interfere in internal matters of those which do not come up to your standards!
good enough, or start invading those countries to make them soverign, bring democracy and liberate their people from tyrants?

 

MARTY MARTEL

1:58 PM ET

December 14, 2010

Pakistan is already in bed with Islamic fundamentalists

US has been paranoid about Pakistani nuclear materials falling in the hands of Islamic fundamentalists when Pakistan has been sheltering these fundamentalists to begin with.

Is it really impossible for the fundamentalists to get hold of Pakistani nuclear materials and technology when Pakistani government has been sleeping with them atleast since 1996 if not before and sheltering them ever since?

Let us NOT forget that Pakistan’s democratic government of Pakistan chose of its own free will, to facilitate relocation of Osama bin Laden from Sudan to Afghanistan in 1996.

Let us NOT forget that Pakistani Army and ISI created what ex-CIA official Bruce Reidel called 'this jihadist Frankenstein monster' on their own with full financing provided by Pakistan’s democratic governments during 1990s.

Al Qaeda, Taliban, LeT, JeM, JuD, HuJi and countless other terror outfits have been spawned in Pakistan, the official ’terror center’ of the world as per CIA with the help, support and sanctuary provided by the Pakistani State that is owned by Pakistani Army that uses ’terrorism’ as an official tool of state policy to further its own objectives.
Let us NOT forget that Osama bin Laden had publicly congratulated Pakistan in 1998 for exploding world’s first Islamic nuclear bomb.

Let us NOT forget that Pakistani Army used to provide military protection to Osama bin Laden during his umpteen visits to Pakistan. Let us NOT forget that Osama bin Laden has received many dialysis treatments at Pakistan’s military hospitals.

Let us NOT forget that Osama bin Laden had made huge campaign contributions to Pakistani prime minister Nawaz Sharif’s election campaigns in 1990 and 1996. Let us NOT forget that ex-prime minister Nawaz Sharif has personally met Osama bin Laden at least three times in Saudi Arabia at Nawaz Sharif’s own request.

Sandy Berger, Bill Clinton’s national security advisor told 9/11 Commission in March, 2004 that ’Pakistani Army was the midwife of Taliban’. UN report on Bhutto killing published in April, 2010 confirmed this fact when it stated that "The PAKISTANI MILITARY ORGANIZED AND SUPPORTED THE TALIBAN TO TAKE CONTROL OF AFGHANISTAN IN 1996“.

Declassified DIA Washington D.C., "IIR (intelligence Information Report) Pakistan Involvement in Afghanistan," dated November 7, 1996 states how "Pakistan's ISI is heavily involved in Afghanistan," and also details different roles various ISI officers play in Afghanistan. Stating that Pakistan uses sizable numbers of its Pashtun-based Frontier Corps in Taliban-run operations in Afghanistan, the document clarifies that, "these Frontier Corps elements are utilized in command and control; training; and when necessary combat“.

Declassified U.S. Department of State, Cable "Pakistan Support for Taliban" from Islamabad dated Sept. 26, 2000 states that "while Pakistani support for the Taliban has been long-standing, the magnitude of recent support is unprecedented." In response Washington orders the U.S. Embassy in Islamabad to immediately confront Pakistani officials on the issue and to advise Islamabad that the U.S. has "seen reports that Pakistan is providing the Taliban with materiel, fuel, funding, technical assistance and military advisors. [The Department] also understand[s] that large numbers of Pakistani nationals have recently moved into Afghanistan to fight for the Taliban, apparently with the tacit acquiescence of the Pakistani government." Additional reports indicate that direct Pakistani involvement in Taliban military operations has increased.

 

UMAR A. KHAN

7:10 AM ET

December 15, 2010

Just like the US looks after

Just like the US looks after its own interests!