Tuesday, August 17, 2010 - 4:34 PM
"Heart-wrenching," said U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon Sunday upon surveying Pakistan's ongoing floods. The U.N. chief called the floods "the worst natural disaster" he said he had ever seen. The numbers explain why. More people have been affected by Pakistan's catastrophic floods than any other natural disaster on record -- over 20 million and counting. That's more than were affected by the 2005 Pakistan earthquake, the 2004 Asian tsunami, and this year's earthquake in Haiti combined. As millions of dislocated Pakistanis search for shelter and food and as health conditions deteriorate and disease spreads, the need for an immediate, large-scale humanitarian response is urgent. And this is just the beginning. Once the floodwaters subside from Pakistan's swollen rivers, the task of rebuilding will be staggering - with a price tag in the billions, and lasting for years to come. The effectiveness of the response to these relief and rebuilding challenges will have serious implications for the wellbeing of the country's citizens, for the peace and stability of Pakistan and the entire South Asian region, and for U.S. national security.
Despite the enormous scale of the disaster, not enough help for Pakistan's flood victims is on the way. The government of Pakistan, completely overwhelmed by the disaster, has been widely criticized for its woefully inadequate relief operations. Meanwhile, the response from the international community has been stunningly anemic. Donors' pledged commitments amount to less than half of the U.N.'s urgent appeal for $459 million in humanitarian relief. In contrast, more than $1 billion was pledged for the Haiti earthquake in the first few weeks after the quake.
Given its national security and foreign policy interests in the region, the United States has the greatest stake in Pakistan's success, and is responding to the floods with the largest commitment of any donor. But the United States can and should do more. President Obama instructed his administration to "lean forward" to support Pakistan. The United States should do more than lean; it should lead the international community with a majority stake in Pakistan's relief and recovery. So far, the U.S. has pledged just $76 million for immediate humanitarian relief. These pledges have come in bits and pieces-$10 million dollars here, another $30 million there, a shipment of emergency bridges there. There is no doubt that this funding has provided relief to thousands of displaced Pakistani citizens. But the total amount is a paltry sum compared to the needs in Pakistan, amounts pledged for other (less catastrophic) disasters, and what's at stake for the U.S.-Pakistan relations. (For another comparison: $76 million is the bottom bound for the amount that pop singer Madonna paid last year in a divorce settlement with her ex-husband Guy Ritchie.) This modest response to such massive destruction is unlikely to convince Pakistanis that the United States is standing shoulder to shoulder with them in the face of an unprecedented disaster.
What would a majority stake commitment cost? If the United States were to commit to funding half of the U.N.'s appeal for immediate humanitarian relief, the bill would be just under $230 million dollars -- less than one sixth of the $1.5 billion in economic assistance to Pakistan the U.S. has already committed for this year alone. To avoid trade-offs between immediate humanitarian needs and the enormous reconstruction and rebuilding needs over the medium to long term, this $230 million commitment for immediate relief should be supplementary funding, above and beyond the $1.5 billion already committed for Pakistan's long-term development. Beyond the relief efforts, the United States, like the World Bank, should commit to reprogram at least half ($750 million) in already committed aid to projects directly related to long-term recovery and reconstruction from flood damage.
Why would such a large commitment be in the U.S. interest? First, because an effective, large-scale humanitarian response could help demonstrate U.S. goodwill to the Pakistan public. In the aftermath of the 2005 earthquake in Pakistan, when the United States responded swiftly with Chinook helicopters and millions of dollars in relief supplies, Pakistani public opinion toward the United States showed significant improvement, if only briefly. On the flip side, anything short of a swift, large-scale U.S. response runs the risk of feeding into the narrative in Pakistan that U.S. aid is slow to arrive and does not benefit the country's people. A recent Pew poll found that 16 percent of Pakistanis don't believe the United States is giving any aid at all, while another 33 percent thinks the United States gives only a little or hardly any aid. If that $1.5 billion per year commitment cannot be mobilized to bring relief to the millions now in need, Pakistanis might well wonder, then what is it for?
A decisive response would not be simply a public relations gambit. All the reasons the United States had for tripling development assistance to Pakistan through the Kerry-Lugar-Berman bill are now magnified ten-fold, including buttressing Pakistan's civilian government, improving Pakistan public opinion, enhancing stability, and mitigating Pakistan's extremist threat. Today, the floods are eroding public confidence in Pakistan's civilian government, providing an opening for extremist groups, and building an ever-increasing cohort of disaffected citizens. In the Swat valley, many of the families who are now displaced by floodwaters were only last year displaced by fighting between the Pakistani military and the Taliban. Economic assistance was meant to demonstrate to these people that their government is a better partner than the Taliban or other Islamist groups. Those plans are now in jeopardy.
There are few countries in the world that matter more to the security of the United States than Pakistan, and few moments when so many compelling interests -- moral, security, strategic, and humanitarian -- point as clearly to the need for decisive action and bold U.S. leadership. An announcement by Secretary Clinton, perhaps at the U.N. conference for Pakistan relief that is scheduled to be held later this week, that the United States will take a majority stake in Pakistan's immediate humanitarian response would be a powerful signal of this leadership. And, we hope, such an announcement would be a first step in a long-term investment not only in Pakistan's peaceful and stable recovery but also in Americans' safety at home.
Molly Kinder is a Senior Policy Analyst and Wren Elhai is a Research Assistant at the Center for Global Development. Kinder leads the Center's U.S. Development Strategy in Pakistan initiative.
You fool me once, shame on you. You fool me twice ...
"an effective, large-scale humanitarian response could help demonstrate U.S. goodwill to the Pakistan public":
Were you born yesterday? We've given them piles upon piles of cash, aid, had creditors walk away from their loans.
In return, they continue to sponsor our enemies on THEIR SIDE OF THE BORDER. Their population hate us "despite" all the riches that have been poured there.
The oldest trick in the book is to use donations and aid to sponsor "freedom fighters".
Sorry, guys! I'm giving my donations for this year to the "Salvation Army"...
Pakistan's terrorist connections haunt it
Relief agencies are having trouble obtaining funds to help millions of Pakistan flood victims as the country suffers from an "image deficit", a UN spokeswoman said on 8/16/2010.
"We note often an image deficit with regards to Pakistan among Western public opinion," said Elizabeth Byrs, spokeswoman of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs even as she and other experts questioned the logic of punishing millions of flood victims for the policies of the country's militarized establishment. "As a result, Pakistan is among countries that are poorly financed, like Yemen," she added.
International experts attribute the cautious and tentative response by the world community to the trust deficit arising from the Pakistani establishment’s deep and long ties to terrorism.
Pakistan’s civilian rulers have tried to highlight ‘catastrophic floods that has devastated Pakistan and generated talk about the country’s very survival’ to drum up more aid from world community, but till last weekend its appeal was met with skepticism given Islamabad’s own dodgy use of militant groups to further its strategic depth, a concept which General Kayani defended till recently.
Pakistan's image deficit became evident in the poor response to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s appeal for $ 10 individual donation through text messages for flood relief – an effort that brought in only thousands of dollars in the first few hours compared to the millions which rolled in for the Haiti earthquake and tsunami relief funds.
Similarly, a German lawmaker who is trying to raise money for Pakistan complained to Der Spielgel that he had so far been met with two types of reactions: "Some fear their money will help extremists. Others say: If Pakistan would spend less money on its efforts to arm itself with nuclear weapons then it would have enough money to manage the catastrophe."
Are there any statesmen with clarity of thought in the world?
Firstly, these strong monsoon rains are a direct result of Climate Change / Global Warming. These strong monsoons are affecting a very large area from Pakistan through India, China and all the way to Korea with torrential rains, mud slides and Noah's Floods.
Because Climate Change is a constant partner now, so will these torrential rains, mud slides and Noah's Floods.
This strong weather system has affected Pakistan this year but it is bound to affect India and Bangladesh in the next years and will wash away all the investments of Americans in India. To be forewarned is to be forearmed.
Secondly, no half measures or pittance in aid will control the problem. We need real civil and environmental engineers to and suggest large scale ways to construct anew and manage this new menace in over-populated and very poor Pakistan, India and Bangladesh etc. And these may include re-building villages on higher ground, dredging of rivers and canals, building more dams and water catches and innovative ideas like building a space shield over the Tibetan plateau from heating up too much and thus drawing too much moisture laden air from the Indian Ocean.
Third, none of these poor Asian countries can manage disasters of such large scale brought about by Climate Change which is a direct result of West’s over industrialization and is the primary cause of Climate Change. The UN or some other body has to be built with adequate number helicopters, airboats, blimps, cargo planes that can be brought into action on short notice.
20 million people are affected in Pakistan alone in an area the size of Italy or England. Next year 200 million people will be affected in India and these disasters are going to continue to unfold again and again for the foreseeable future.
Fourth, the 20 million have lost their houses, their crops and their entire livelihoods. They are hungry, they are thirsty and they are angry. A French revolution is brewing in Pakistan. The miniscule 1% middleclass of Pakistan may have to migrate en masse if the great unwashed reach the cities of the rich.
Are there any statesmen with clarity of thought in the world?
en.wordpress.com/tag/climate-change-and-floods
If we help you Pakis, will you help us kill the Taliban who are killing our troops? That's right, they'll find some kind of excuse
- we're busy helping the flood victims
- we're consolidating our gains in South Waziristan
- we're short on resources
- we don't know where the bad guys are BUT we can help negotiate on their behalf with Karzai
- they're not terrorists, they're freedom fighters
- they're aid workers
What a freakin' waste of money, space and time to be discussing throwing good money after bad in your direction...
100 billion will not be enough
"The government of Pakistan, completely overwhelmed by the disaster, has been widely criticized for its woefully inadequate relief operations. Meanwhile, the response from the international community has been stunningly anemic. Donors' pledged commitments amount to less than half of the U.N.'s urgent appeal for $459 million in humanitarian relief. In contrast, more than $1 billion was pledged for the Haiti earthquake in the first few weeks after the quake."
Those who constantly follow the events in the region understand that Pakistan is not poor. The government of Pakistan received about 10 billion dollars in aid from the US several months ago. Pakistan has been one of the biggest recepients of aid from American.
Pakistan could not have spent the entire 10 billion dollars of cash within several months. The reality is different.Corruption among the politicians including the president of Pakistan is a chronic affair. The leadership do not want to provide for the masses. They do not want the money to go to those affected.
The impact of floods on the ground is unfortunate, and the Pakistani leadership are respectively responsible. Most of the cash Pakistan receives does not go to the infrastructure of the country, but rather it goes to the "defense."
Even today, the leadership is fighting a war--mafia style--in karachi over money and power. The rest of the country is suffering, children are dying and millions are displaced, yet ANP and MQM, which constitute Pakistan leadership, hamper supply routes as they continue to assasinate one another.
So, long story short, money won't solve the problem, no matter how much you throw at Pakistan. The problem lies in a corrupt system that one the one hand is killing scores of innocent Pakistani masses and on the other hand is fueling the insurgency in Pakistan, India, Kashmir and Afghanistan to say the least.
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