Tuesday, May 25, 2010 - 8:48 AM

Supreme decision
Earlier
today, Pakistan's Supreme Court upheld the Lahore High Court's decision
to release Hafiz Saeed, the founder of the Pakistani militant group
Lashkar-e-Taiba and suspected mastermind of the deadly 2008 terrorist
attacks in Mumbai (Nation, Dawn, Geo,
ET, Reuters, AP, PTI, AFP). Saeed was detained in
December 2008 and released last year on insufficient evidence; the
Supreme Court's decision today could inflame tensions between Pakistan
and India, whose foreign secretary expressed a "sense of disappointment"
at the ruling (PTI).
A local jirga has reportedly expelled
25 families from Pakistan's Swat Valley, where the Pakistani
military launched an anti-Taliban offensive last year, because their
relatives -- suspected Taliban fighters -- failed to surrender (AFP, BBC, ET). The 130 people are living at a
refugee camp in the Malakand guarded by the military.
Pakistan's
The News reports that Mehsud militants have agreed to leave North Waziristan and return to South Waziristan after an accord was
reached between North Waziristan commander Hafiz Gul Bahadur and Tehrik-i-Taliban
Pakistan chief Hakimullah Mehsud (The News). The Express Tribune writes that
residents of the northwestern Pakistani city of Peshawar are worried
that more Taliban militants are making their ways into the suburbs (ET).
Soldiering on
For the first time since the United
States invaded Iraq in 2003, there are more U.S. troops deployed in
Afghanistan than Iraq -- 94,000 compared with 92,000 (BBC, AP, AFP, Tel). The total number of U.S. troops
in Afghanistan is expected to reach 98,000 later this year, and has
roughly tripled under the Obama administration.
Some 300
insurgents led by Swat Valley Taliban commander Maulana Fazlullah have reportedly
launched an attack in Barg-i-Matal district of Afghanistan's eastern
Nuristan province (Pajhwok). The governor of Nuristan,
Jamaluddin Badr, told reporters the battle is still ongoing and Afghan
police face a shortage of men and ammunition.
Seven men from
Kabul between the ages of 21 and 45 have been arrested on suspicion of
involvement in last week's suicide bombing in the Afghan capital
that left 18 dead, including a dozen Afghan civilians and six NATO
service members (AP, NYT, BBC). A spokesman for Afghanistan's spy agency
accused Pakistan's intelligence services of a "role in equipping and
training of this group," members of which have also reportedly confessed
to involvement in the February attack on a guest house in
Kabul, which they said was planned from Peshawar (NYT).
A bleeding ulcer
Gen. Stanley McChrystal is
reportedly feeling the pressure from his civilian bosses about the pace
of coalition military operations in Marjah, and called the situation "a
bleeding ulcer" (McClatchy). Progress in Marjah has
been slow, McClatchy reports, because "no one who planned the operation
realized how hard it would be to
convince residents that they could trust representatives of an Afghan
government that had sent them corrupt police and inept leaders before
they turned to the Taliban."
As momentum builds toward the
expected coalition offensive in Kandahar (ABC), the governor of the province, Tooryalai Wesa,
is struggling to assert influence over the area where Afghan President
Hamid Karzai's half-brother Ahmed Wali Karzai has a stronger power base (FT). Afghan elders were annoyed by a
weekend U.S. military raid on their neighborhood of Kokaran in Kandahar
city, as a meeting between Afghans and U.S. and Canadian teams that was
supposed to be about development and governance instead focused on
security (LAT).
In an attempt to relieve
some burdens on bomb disposal experts in Afghanistan after Britain's
top bomb disposal officer recently resigned, engineers will now start to
detonate rather than dismantle many of the roadside bombs in the country (Independent). The London Times also
reports that the U.S. is considering switching from the M4 rifle in
Afghanistan because it "lacks sufficient velocity and killing power in
long-range firefights" (Times).
Unhealthy habits
Twenty-five
percent of Pakistanis are obese according to the Indo-Asian specific
Body Mass Index and half the population over the age of 50 is subject to
hypertension (ET). Health care experts in Pakistan said only 3
percent of people diagnosed with hypertension try to keep their blood
pressures under control.
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Too little, too late to save US Afghan mission
‘Too little, too late’ as the saying goes.
US mission in Afghanistan is headed for failure no matter how many troops US pours now because American people are tired of this never-ending war.
Death knell of US mission in Afghanistan was sounded when US recruited the creator of Taliban i.e. Pakistan for help.
Musharraf was forced to join this US fight against his own wishes but under the threat of ‘dire consequences’ by Richard Armitage. So Musharraf fooled Bush administration by ’running with the hares while hunting with the hounds’ while milking Uncle Sam in the process. Current Pakistani government has continued that policy.
Three Bush blunders compounded problems for US Afghan mission:
First, during the siege of Kunduz in November 2001, the Bush administration allowed Pakistan to spirit away by airlift hundreds, if not thousands, of Taliban operatives cornered by the advancing Northern Alliance in Kunduz. Pakistan relocated those Taliban cadres including Mullah Mohammed Omar in Quetta, the provincial capital of Baluchistan from where Mullah Omar’s QST has been planning raids in Afghanistan ever since.
‘Quetta Shura Taliban (QST) based in Quetta, the provincial capital of Baluchistan, is the No. 1 threat to US/NATO mission in Afghanistan. At the operational level, the Quetta Shura conducts a formal campaign review each winter, after which Mullah Mohammed Omar (Afghan Taliban Chief) announces his guidance and intent for the coming year‘ as General McChrystal narrated in his August, 2009 report to President Obama. But US can not even use its drones to destroy QST that is causing daily deaths of US/NATO soldiers in Afghanistan since 2002!
Second, Bush administration did NOT provide sufficient troops to secure Afghanistan against Taliban because so many US troops were tied down in Iraq to destroy Saddam‘s imaginary weapons of mass destruction.
Third, Bush put blind faith in Musharraf’s Pakistan to fight the very terrorist threat that Pakistan itself created. Musharraf continued to shelter, protect and support Mullah Mohammed Omar’s Quetta Shura Taliban in Quetta, provincial capital of Baluchistan and Haqqani network in North Waziristan. Bush naively tolerated such a duplicitous Musharraf game.
Obama continued Bush mollycoddling of Pakistan at the expense of Afghanistan.
With an ally like Pakistan, US Afghan mission was headed for failure from day one no matter how much money and manpower US poured there.
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