Is Operation Moshtarak a fool’s mission?

By Norine MacDonald Share

We should be asking some critical questions about the now, much-publicized NATO and Afghan forces operation to take Marjah district in Helmand. For starters: How does this operation fit into the overall strategy for Afghanistan -- why Marjah and why now?

One can argue that U.S. and NATO forces have not had significant military success in Afghanistan since the initial invasion, despite the expansion of ISAF's mandate across the country between 2004 and 2006. And one can argue further that the reverse is true: The Taliban's military strategy has been successful and their territorial influence has in fact increased dramatically in recent years, as they now dominate the south and east, and are rapidly increasing their presence in the north. Taliban forces have also closed in on Kabul, as evidenced by the most recent major attacks within the capital itself.

That the world's "most powerful military" hasn't yet prevailed in Afghanistan is a problem to be sure, but one that should be addressed by its political architects, not its military actors. From the beginning of the war in Afghanistan, Western politicians and their domestic bases have failed to provide adequate military resources, failed to coordinate the NATO effort, and failed to tackle effectively Afghan "hearts and minds" with the necessary political, developmental and counter-narcotics policies.

The Obama administration's troop surge -- which was sorely needed and should have been matched by additional troops from other NATO countries -- must be used to ensure not just military victories, but military victories which are of high-profile and also high-value in the overall conflict.

We are at a moment when the West has decided to focus its strategy on a "political solution". The troop surge should be used in a way that would have the most impressive impact on the overall political dynamics and take back some of the military initiative from the Taliban forces, which is a necessary backdrop to the any discussion about a political settlement.  The military objectives should support the political objectives.

So why, of all the Taliban-controlled areas, is NATO using the recent influx of U.S. troops to seize Marjah? Clearing Marjah will be a minor symbolic military move without much of a political rationale. Although the district is considered to be a heroin trade hub, the absence of a counter-narcotics strategy means that it is not clear what actions will be taken against the area's opium economy once it is cleared. If no alternative livelihoods are created once the district has been re-taken, resentment towards the Afghan government and international forces will only increase.

The build-up to the operation has not been encouraging. Although the political decision to provide advance warning of Operation Moshtarak has allowed civilians to leave the conflict zone, steps to resettle these people temporarily are nonexistent. Thousands of Afghans are fleeing to Lashkar Gah and the ungoverned refugee camp outside it.

This camp does not have sufficient food, medical supplies, or accommodations for the families who have already fled there -- a shocking state of affairs which has persisted since March 2006 -- and is already far beyond any original holding capacity, full of unemployed and angry men unable to provide for their families. Creating a situation which will lead to thousands more to take refuge at this camp is not only disastrous from a humanitarian point of view; it is a very poorly conceived plan from a counter-insurgency viewpoint.

Instead of using the military to create Taliban recruitment opportunities -- which this overcrowded refugee camp will surely do -- why doesn't the United States use its military power to  concentrate its effort on achievable objectives with real strategic value to the West and that will have a positive impact on Afghan lives?

For example, a far more impactful use of the troop surge would be to take back control of the ring road from Kabul to Lashkar Gah from the Taliban -- a strategic artery which is vital for control of the south of Afghanistan and would have an immediate and beneficial impact on the entire conflict. Currently, travel on these roads is Taliban dominated and highly dangerous, restricting local life immensely and increasing the sense of isolation of the people of the south. Further, NATO and Afghan forces should also focus on regaining control of the whole of Kandahar province. This area has much greater geographic and political significance to the Taliban than Helmand. Holding the territory -- not just seizing, and then withdrawing from it -- is critical for enabling vital development and infrastructure projects, boosting the local economy within the Afghan civilian community, and draw support away from the Taliban.

This U.S. "troop surge" has cost the Obama administration a good deal of political currency on the domestic front already. Using these new military resources to take the Marjah district, whether entirely misconceived or purposefully misdirected for an "easy win," could be catastrophic and drain away the military power that has just been gained at serious political cost. Any U.S./NATO effort from this point onward should be used on the ground to create critical and strategic military supremacy, bring the Taliban to the table ready to make some concessions -- and improve, not degrade our relationship with the Afghan people.

CHRISTOPHE SIMON/AFP/Getty Images

 

SKYLAR C

1:46 AM ET

February 9, 2010

The Economy

In the State of Union Address, he has stated several of his plans for the economy. There, included first and foremost creating more jobs. The unemployment rate is at a record high point, but what's even higher is the rate of underemployment. More people are not running for payday loans, as they are working in jobs that are below their previous salary level or qualification, and willing to accept lower salaries just to keep money coming in. The lower salaries have a lot to do with why people aren't spending as freely as they had previously. The numbers of unemployed aren't growing at as fast a rate as they had, which leads many to believe that the recession is ending.

 

_YOURSTRULY_

11:53 AM ET

February 11, 2010

Fire can only be fought with fire ......

From the battles in Iraq and Afghanistan, one thing is becoming clear that the strategy of clear and hold is expensive and unsustainable. Especially, in Afghanistan with little infrastructure available.

Alternate is the strategy of puntucated hitting. A list of all cities and towns which are under Taliban control, or are pro-Taliban, in Pakistan and Afghanistan, needs to be drawn up. Then targeted bombing of terrorist's residences and suspected gathering places be carried out by drones and all other resources three to four times a month.
If such a campaign is carried out and sustained for a while, the terroists and their supporters will get tired of being on the run to escape this targeted bombing. It will also have a psychological effect on the population, which will find it harder to support the terrorists if bombs keep raining around them. Also the more sypathetic a city or town is to the terrorists there will be more tarrgets there, so the intensity of this targeted bombing would correspond to what the residents want.

Such a campaign will keep these scums of the earth on the run and in caves indefinitely and these caves can be targeted with more ferocity.

Putting more and more troops on the ground and trying to win hearts and minds is seeming to be a futile exercise. Whose hearts and minds are we trying to win? Like the citizens of Pakistan? who have participated in and supported mullah terrorism with all of their hearts and minds for sixty years, and still blame all of their failing society's ills on the US and on India.

If you think that any Pakistani's or Afghani's support of mullah terrorism can be changed by giving him sweets you are living in a fantastic world....

 

MOHAIR.SAM

12:58 PM ET

February 16, 2010

What about the pre-McCrystal strategy? Isn't this the same?

With respect ... This strategy assumes a whole lot that isn't in evidence, or has already been disproved. Who says the Taliban/residents of FATA etc. will "get tired" of bombing? We've been bombing since 2002, on and off, as has the Pakistani army. No apparent signs of fatigue as yet. More to the point, killing civilians ("pinpoint" bombing isn't THAT precise) is a very convenient recruiting tool that the Taliban happily uses to replace its fallen footsoldiers. This strategy you propose could just as easily backfire. After all, that was the strategy until we went to the McCrystal version of COIN, precisely because the bombing/attacking wasn't working.

If you don't win hearts and minds one way or the other, we will be fighting an endless insurgency, year after year, billions and billions of dollars down the hole (which, I am reminded, we don't have—unless China is willing to fund our debt to an even greater extent, of course).

Pinpoint bombing will do as much good as buying off locals: None. Meanwhile, our nation is broke. Flat broke. Foreign policy doesn't exist in a vacuum; it must be paid for. How much more debt are you willing to pile upon your children, chasing an enemy that has never represented more than a modest threat, all while our borders and ports remain an utter sieve? Our priorities are so far out of whack vis-a-vis the war on evil that we are getting precisely what we deserve: a bankrupt government with zero regard for its founding documents.

So be it.

 

JAYDEE001

1:40 PM ET

February 12, 2010

THERE YOU ARE...

"From the beginning of the war in Afghanistan, Western politicians and their domestic bases have failed to provide adequate military resources, failed to coordinate the NATO effort, and failed to tackle effectively Afghan "hearts and minds" with the necessary political, developmental and counter-narcotics policies. "

We are following the playbook drawn up by Osama bin Laden, to the tee. He could not have asked for more than the US stumbling and bumbling that have gone on for the last eight years. And we have played the game exactly as he designed it. Both Pakistan and Afghanistan have to be wondering how badly we and our allies will screw this up before we eventually decide the war is a lost cause and run home tails between our legs.

The goal was to get the US into a "generational" war in, then bleed us dry militarily and economically, and we took the bait. And, in a part of the world that bin Laden and his minions know particularly well, since they drained the Soviet Union dry there before us. OBL wrote the script and we are just too arrogant to understand that we are the players in a tragedy not of our making. We are now locked into an ever-expanding conflict that the last US President all but ignored while pursuing his own special cause in Iraq, and the current president made it a campaign issue that we must succeed, so he cannot back away. 'Victory' (whatever that is) will cost far more than our leaders will ever be willing to tell us, or ask us to pay.

 

BOREDWELL

4:47 AM ET

February 16, 2010

PWND

We're gonna get it! Pawned, punked, you name it. That Moshtarak is ill-conceived is an understatement. Feckless is more to the point. No, pointless is a better descriptive. What a waste of manpower. As you mentioned, securing the trunk line to Kabul should be a priority though, apropos, Kabul itself isn't secure. Worst is the cost to civilians in Marja who are being arbitrarily and carelessly uprooted, displaced, impoverished. We invaded Afghanistan to punish the Taliban for harboring al-Qaeda. We temporarily succeeded in routing the former but with regards to the latter failed to keep our eyes on that prize. Now we've come full circle re-engaging the resurgent Taliban as our enemy du jour.