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Daily brief: U.S., NATO, Afghan forces prepare to storm southern Taliban stronghold

By Katherine Tiedemann Share

The center of gravity

In an unusually public series of pronouncements, U.S., NATO, and Afghan military officials have announced that the largest joint military offensive since 2001 will soon be underway, targeting Marjah, a Taliban-held town in the volatile southern province of Helmand, the surrounding district of which is home to around 125,000 people and between 600 and 1,700 Taliban and foreign fighters (NYT, WSJ, FT, Pajhwok, ABC, AP, AJE). Though the start date of the operations is not disclosed for security reasons, officials have been hinting about it for months, which has an important benefit: civilians given warning may flee the area, but so might Taliban fighters, to regroup elsewhere, but if the Taliban choose flight over fight, the government could have the chance to tout a "relatively easy win." However, the Taliban could also dig in and fortify their defenses of the town, and more than 30 militants were reportedly killed in Helmand in joint operations yesterday (Pajhwok).

Matthew Green looks at a suspected Taliban commander in the Arghandab River valley north of Kandahar, Said Amir Mohammed Agha, as a one-man case study in plans for reconciliation between the insurgency and the Afghan government (FT). Joshua Partlow lays out a host of concerns about the Afghan government's top-down approach to reconciliation (Wash Post). And the new allied commander in southern Afghanistan has in recent months revamped the coalition's strategy there, focusing on two population centers in Helmand and Kandahar which have some two-thirds of the provinces' residents (WSJ).

Violence of action

Yesterday's bombing in the northwestern Pakistani district of Dir that left three U.S. soldiers dead and two wounded inadvertently drew back the veil from the small, low-profile U.S. military presence in Pakistan, a country where anti-American sentiment is rampant and high (NYT, AP, WSJ, Wash Post, McClatchy, AP). Those killed were part of a group of at least 60 to 100 members of a Special Operations team that has since 2008 quietly been training Pakistan's weak and under-equipped Frontier Corps.

Clashes between the Pakistani military and Taliban militants continue in the tribal agency of Bajaur, as helicopter gunships slammed militant hideouts in several towns in the agency yesterday, killing around a dozen fighters (Dawn, Daily Times, Geo). According to reports in the main town of Bajaur, large numbers of militants have shaved their beards and joined citizens fleeing the fighting. And speculation continues about the fate of Hakimullah Mehsud, the chief of the Pakistani Taliban, who may have been killed in a suspected U.S. drone strike in mid-January (Dawn).

Authorities in Pakistan's commercial capital, the southern city of Karachi, have given the Pakistan Rangers, a paramilitary force, powers to conduct raids and make arrests for the next month, after weeks of tit-for-tat targeted killings between rival political parties have left dozens dead (Bloomberg, The News, BBC). The chief minister of Sindh province, of which Karachi is the capital, said earlier today that lawmakers from the different parties have agreed to put an end of the political violence.

Behind bars

After a two-week trial she frequently interrupted with outbursts in a district court in Manhattan, Aafia Siddiqui, a MIT- and Brandeis-trained Pakistani neuroscientist, was convicted yesterday of attempting to kill U.S. soldiers in the summer of 2008 while in custody in Ghazni, Afghanistan (NYT, WSJ, AFP, AJE, The News, Dawn, ABC, Reuters, AFP, AP). Lawyers for Siddiqui, who could face up to life in prison and is due for sentencing in May, the Embassy of Pakistan, her family, and Pakistanis all expressed dismay at the verdict, which Siddiqui greeted with cries as she left the courtroom of, "This is a verdict coming from Israel, not America."

Dust Devils v. Desert Dogs

Without ice and without pucks, Canadian and other western troops at Kandahar Air Field in southern Afghanistan are still getting their hockey fixes in an informal hockey league among soldiers based there (AP). The league, which has two divisions and more than two dozen teams, is rigorously refereed, and players are often ejected for offenses such as roughing, high sticking, and unsportsmanlike conduct.

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CHRISTOPHE SIMON/AFP/Getty Images

 
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SURESH SHETH

2:57 PM ET

February 5, 2010

Daily brief: U.S., NATO, Afghan forces prepare to storm southern

By advance announcement of Helmand offensive, obviously US military wants to tell Taliban to evacuate and return to their Pakistani home base in Quetta, provincial capital of Baluchistan so that US casualties are minimal.

Clearly US is looking for a quick victory in order to meet Obama’s deadline of June, 2011 to start leaving Afghanistan.

With Pakistan pressuring Mullah Mohammed Omar’s Afghan Taliban in Quetta to tamp down its Afghan operations temporarily so that US can declare its hollow victory and go home, stage is set for illusive peace in Afghanistan.