Monday, February 1, 2010 - 3:32 AM

Speculation
Rumors
that the current chief of the Pakistani Taliban died of wounds
sustained in an alleged U.S. drone strike in mid-January resurfaced
yesterday after a state-run Pakistani television station aired reports
that he was killed, and two Obama administration officials told the New York Times and the Washington Post they were at least 90 percent certain Hakimullah Mehsud had died (Wash Post, NYT, The News, Daily Times, WSJ, AP, McClatchy).
The Pakistani channel also claimed Hakimullah had been taken to the
tribal agency of Orakzai and buried several days ago in the village of
Tajaka.
Hakimullah has been reported dead before and later
turned up alive, and the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) promptly
denied the speculation and promised the Taliban leader would appear
alive in a video soon (AFP, Reuters, Geo, AJE).
If his death is confirmed, however, the TTP has two likely successors
for him: Wali ur-Rehman, who leads the movement in South Waziristan and
is believed to be the group's chief military strategist, and Qari
Hussain, who trains suicide bombers (NYT, Wash Post, FP).
An
alleged U.S. drone strike targeted a compound used by local Taliban
militants and the Haqqani network in the village of Muhammad Khel in
North Waziristan on Friday night, killing as many as 15 suspected
militants (AFP, AP, BBC, NYT, Geo, Reuters).
It was the 12th reported strike this year, and members of the Taliban
killed two people over the weekend and were dumped on the main road
between Datta Khel and Miram Shah in North Waziristan with notes saying
they were killed for "spying for the U.S." (Daily Times). The agency is considered a stronghold for the Taliban, al Qaeda, and the Haqqanis.
Bajaur burning
At
least 17 people were killed in the main town of northwest Pakistani
tribal agency of Bajaur on Saturday when a suicide bomber detonated his
explosives at a police checkpoint, signaling the deteriorating security
situation in the region where the Pakistani military had declared
victory in February 2009 after a major military offensive (AP, Reuters, BBC, Dawn).
The
attack came after Pakistani security forces killed upwards of 40
militants in the same area the day before, and was quickly followed by
an air assault on the militant hideouts of Mamond and Salarzai, two
towns within several miles of the main town of Khar (AFP, Dawn).
Two security personnel were killed Sunday by a roadside bomb in Safi
town of Mohmand district, which borders Bajaur, and Pakistani security
forces say this morning that they have killed 15 suspected militants in
Bajaur and gained control of the Taliban's headquarters in Sewai (AFP, BBC, Reuters, Dawn, Geo).
Suspected
militants torched an oil fuel tanker carrying supplies to the war
effort in Afghanistan outside Peshawar late last night, underlining the
insecurity of supply lines through Pakistan (Dawn, Geo, The News, BBC).
Friendly fire
Both
sides mistaking each other for the enemy, U.S. and Afghan soldiers
fought early Saturday morning in a shootout in Sayyidabad district of
the snow-covered Wardak province in central Afghanistan, causing NATO
forces to call in an airstrike which left four Afghan soldiers dead (AP, ISAF, Reuters, Wash Post). NATO and Afghan forces have promised to investigate the incident, which is the first friendly-fire since November.
Also
in Wardak, an Afghan interpreter shot and killed two U.S. soldiers on
Saturday in what one U.S. official termed "a case of a disgruntled
employee," rather than a Taliban attack (Reuters, BBC). And a suicide bomber was killed in Zabul province earlier today during a clash with Afghan police (Pajhwok).
Afghanistan's
security forces are still struggling to build up the size of their army
and police, though small steps have been made: recruitment levels are
higher than in the past, as is the pay for new soldiers (Wash Post).
And U.S. Marines continue to prepare for an assault on Marjah, a
strategically critical town in the southern Afghan province of Helmand,
where in the capital of Lashkar Gah suspected Taliban militants have
cut 700 meters of power lines to the city from the Kajaki Dam (AFP, Tel, Pajhwok).
Peace talks watch
A
Taliban spokesman denied on Saturday that any leaders of the militant
movement had met with outgoing U.N. envoy in Afghanistan Kai Eide to
discuss potential peace negotiations, as reported last week (AFP, FP). Afghan President Hamid Karzai will reportedly set up a traditional tribal meeting, or jirga, within the next six weeks, though it is unclear whether any militants will attend (Times of London).
And the New York Times takes a look at how Pashtun tribes in Afghanistan are structured (NYT, NYT-graphic). Pashtuns make up approximately 38 percent of Afghanistan's population.
Afghanistan's national sport
Foreign Policy is featuring an impressive photo essay about buzkashi,
the unofficial national sport of Afghanistan, in which competitors
attempt to carry a headless goat or calf around two poles and and back
to the center of the field (FP). The sport is believed to have originated from Mongol horsemen hundreds of years ago.
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