Friday, October 23, 2009 - 8:48 AM
The heat of battle
A
trio of militant attacks in northwest Pakistan killed at least 24
people this morning, as a bus full of wedding-goers struck a roadside
bomb in Mohmand agency, a remote control car bomb exploded outside a
restaurant in a ritzy area of Peshawar, and a suicide bomber blew
himself up during rush hour outside a Pakistani military facility in
Kamra, southwest of Islamabad (Dawn, Dawn, Geo TV, Reuters, BBC, AFP, CNN).
Some foreign military experts suspect that the aeronautical facility at
Kamra stores aircraft capable of carrying nuclear warheads, though
Pakistan denies this and it is unknown whether the attacker, who did
not get close to the base itself, intended to strike specifically at
the nuclear program (AP, Times of London, Al Jazeera, CNN).
The
suspected Taliban attacks are part of a month-long campaign of militant
violence as the Pakistani Army moves deeper into the extremist bastion
of South Waziristan, a mountainous tribal region on the border with
Afghanistan (AFP).
Some 150 people, most of them militants, have died in the operation,
which started six days ago. The spate of violence has apparently
convinced Pakistani officials to accept U.S. help in the major military
operation against the Taliban, and U.S.-operated Predator drones are
reportedly providing intelligence and surveillance video to the
Pakistanis (Los Angeles Times).
Dawn,
a leading Pakistani newspaper, reported that two top leaders of the
Taliban in Pakistan's southern Punjab province were arrested earlier
this week (Dawn).
Iqbal and Gul Muhammad, who were picked up after telephone surveillance
by Pakistani intelligence services and disclosures by a leading
militant already in custody, were reportedly the masterminds of the
October 10 attack on Pakistan's equivalent of the Pentagon, and were
members of the TTP's leadership council (shura).
A different aid bill
The U.S. Congress yesterday passed a massive defense spending bill for
fiscal year 2010 that will require Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
and Secretary of Defense Robert Gates to approve any reimbursements to
Pakistan out of a $1.6 billion pot of money for military and logistical
support for efforts against Islamist extremism (BBC, AFP, Bloomberg, Dawn).
The $680 billion bill, which is expected to be signed into law by U.S.
President Barack Obama, also includes efforts to track where U.S.
military hardware sent to Pakistan winds up and must not "affect the
balance of power
in the region," a reference to tensions with India.
The defense
spending measure is distinct from the recently cleared Kerry-Lugar
bill, which attached some conditions to the $7.5 billion in aid to
Pakistan over the next five years and sparked annoyed protests from
Pakistan's very powerful military (Washington Post).
U.S. Sen. John Kerry's visit to Islamabad earlier this week underscores
the influence the army, which has ruled the country for about half of
its existence, wields in Pakistan's political landscape. And the man
from Massachusetts has emerged as a key foreign policy player for the
Obama administration (Washington Post).
Separate togetherness
Scott
Shane has today's must-read in a detailed account of the differences
between the Pakistani Taliban and the Afghan Taliban, who share a
common ideology and are both mostly Pashtun movements but have varied
structures, goals, and histories (New York Times).
The Pakistani Taliban is a loose coalition of militant groups brought
together by their common enemy in the Pakistani government, and the
Afghan Taliban, with a broad network of fighters and an alleged "shadow
government-in-waiting" in many provinces, have recently been claiming
their interests are purely local; further muddying the issue is that
the Afghan Taliban are headquartered in Pakistan.
And as if the
region didn't have enough problems, a strong earthquake with a
magnitude of 6.2 centered in the Hindu Kush mountains shook a wide
swath of Pakistan and Afghanistan yesterday (AFP, CNN, Reuters, AP, Dawn, The News).
There were no immediate reports of casualties or damage, but the area
is remote and hard to reach. And Afghan police backed by U.S. forces
have launched an operation to secure the highway between Lashkar Gah
and Kandahar in the southern Afghan province of Helmand (Pajhwok).
After you
Both
the top U.N. envoy in Afghanistan, Kai Eide, and the secretary general
of NATO, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, have come out in support of top U.S.
and NATO commander in Afghanistan Gen. Stanley McChrystal's assessment
that more troops are needed in the country (BBC, Reuters, AP).
And though NATO members Denmark and the Netherlands said they will not
send more troops until the Obama administration reaches a decision and
unless the November 7 runoff election creates a legitimate government,
Defense Secretary Robert Gates seemed optimistic to reporters about
NATO countries' support of the war (AP, AP).
Gen. McChrystal is expected to brief a meeting of NATO defense
ministers in Slovakia about the situation in Afghanistan and his
strategy there (Al Jazeera).
Afghanistan's
second round of elections will likely still be fraught with fraud,
though officials are hopeful that it will not be on the same scale as
the August 20 balloting (Reuters).
And while some Afghans who didn't turn out in the first round because
of security concerns are eager to vote on November 7, most analysts
expect far fewer people to vote this time because of continuing threats
from militants, freezing winter weather, and apathy among voters (Pajhwok, New York Times). Incumbent President Hamid Karzai, for his part, said he wanted the second round to be "better" than the first (Reuters).
The
Council on Foreign Relations' Stephen Biddle assesses prospects for a
"middle way" in Afghanistan and finds the arguments unconvincing in
another piece of essential reading for this week (New Republic).
"None of the usual middle-way proposals are...likely to be effective as
alternatives to reinforcement," writes the military historian.
Wagging tongues
Seventy-two
Pakistani traffic cops were punished recently for gossiping and talking
on cell phones instead of maintaining the flow of traffic in Lahore (The News). The men and women were fined, censured, or otherwise rebuked, though none was fired.
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