Wednesday, September 2, 2009 - 8:52 AM

Like dull narcotics, numbing pain
Net poppy cultivation has fallen 22 percent in Afghanistan in the last year, according to the U.N. Office of Drugs and Crime (UNODC and BBC).
The average price of opium has dropped by about a third since 2008,
which suggests market saturation and lower penetration in European
markets.
Afghanistan produces more than 90 percent of the
world's opium, and in Helmand province, coalition commanders say it's
tough to distinguish between the Taliban, drug runners, and criminals
-- all of whom have a share in the opium trade (Washington Post).
Disturbing the peace
A
suicide bomber in the relatively calm eastern province of Laghman
killed the deputy head of Afghan intelligence early this morning,
illustrating the Taliban's reach and one of their goals: to attack
Western-backed security services (AFP). At least 15 others were killed and 54 wounded in the attack targeting the second-ranking intelligence official (New York Times).
Momentum building against Karzai
Dexter
Filkins reports that leaders of a southern Afghan tribe in Kandahar who
wanted to support presidential candidate Abdullah Abdullah instead of
incumbent President Hamid Karzai in last month's election say that
nearly 24,000 ballots were forged in favor of Karzai in their district (New York Times).
Just under half the country's votes have been counted, and Karzai is
leading Abdullah 46 percent to 33 percent, still short of the 50
percent needed to avoid a runoff.
Thousands of accusations of
corruption and voter fraud have seriously called the legitimacy of the
election into question, and Abdullah has vowed he will not accept a
flawed Karzai win (Los Angeles Times and Washington Post).
With these allegations gathering steam in Afghanistan, hundreds of
tribal leaders came together yesterday in a meeting in Kabul led by
Abdullah to call on Karzai to quit (Times of London).
The Washington clock
Top
NATO commander in Afghanistan Gen. Stanley McChrystal submitted his
strategy review of the war in Afghanistan to the Pentagon on Monday,
and President Obama is expected to read it at Camp David later this
week (Reuters).
The
report comes as public support for American involvement in the country
is declining: according to a CBS News poll released yesterday, 41
percent of Americans think U.S. troop levels in Afghanistan should be
decreased, up from 24 percent in February (CBS News).
And a CNN poll also released yesterday found that 57 percent of
Americans oppose the war in Afghanistan -- the highest percentage since
CNN first asked that question in the fall of 2006 (CNN).
Tajik Taliban
The
Wall Street Journal profiles an Afghan Tajik warlord named Ghulam
Yahya, a former mayor of Herat, who has turned from working with
Western officials to rebuild the country to supporting the Taliban and
attacking his erstwhile allies (Wall Street Journal).
Karzai has tried to woo insurgent commanders like Yahya to win their
support in the past several years, but only a few have switched sides,
and Yahya's defection shows the risks of Afghans' mounting frustration
with endemic corruption, slow rebuilding of the country, and tactics of
coalition troops.
Contractors gone wild
Some
private security contractors in Afghanistan have reportedly engaged in
severe misconduct, according to the nonpartisan Project on Government
Oversight, which sent Secretary of State Hillary Clinton a letter
yesterday detailing the conditions at Camp Sullivan, a few miles from
the Kabul embassy compound (Reuters and Washington Post).
Allegations include bringing prostitutes to the compound and engaging
in "lewd and deviant" behavior, hazing, and abusing Afghan nationals,
fueled by alcohol (POGO).
Additionally,
civilian contractors working for the Pentagon now outnumber the
uniformed troops, making up 57 percent of the Pentagon's force in
Afghanistan (New York Times).
And the battle goes on
Fighting
rages between security forces and militants in northwestern Pakistan,
leaving at least 43 extremists dead and two commanders captured in
Khyber agency and 15 dead in Swat Valley (CNN and BBC). The Khyber Pass is a key supply line checkpoint that has been targeted by suicide bombers recently (AP).
More than 100 militants reportedly surrendered in the former tourist
destination of Swat, but there is no independent confirmation of these
claims as journalists are generally not allowed in the conflict-ridden
area (BBC and Al Jazeera).
Twitter, Facebook approved
The world's first-ever halal
search engine went live yesterday, giving Muslims who may have avoided
the internet because of its unsavory content the option to find only
search results that are considered halal -- approved -- under Muslim religious law (Jerusalem Post). ImHalal.com wants to be the number one website in all Muslim households, according to its founder.
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John Moore/Getty Images
How are these production figures gathered? The Senate Foreign Relations Committee announced the Pentagon "nexus targets" back on the 9th of August, saying that 70 million dollars winds up in the Taliban-al Qaeda web. The Economist not two weeks ago stated that the yield of the poppy crop/heroin trade in Afghanistan was 33% of the Afghan GDP in 2008 - $3.4 billion. Simple economics says when the supply drops, the price rises in a market at a direct relation to the demand. Is it likely that demand has dropped for the illicit opiates that our FDA cannot stomach in medicinal supply rooms of third world countries? Dropping production rates of poppy crop yield does not sever the links of the narco-terror chain, it merely raises the price and enriches the middlemen. Prices have fallen to a 10 year low, how many thousands of kilos are buried in dem der hills of the NWFP and FATA region? A price hike is necessary because we have cash strapped the Taliban with our Panther's claw, Strike of the Sword and Predator campaigns. The Taliban is in critical trouble and they are gearing up for an offensive, in which they must field and weaponize a slew of jihadists. They are raising money for a winter offensive, and we are...gearing up a voucher program for farmers...as MCChrystal allows the media to wait with baited breath for the size and scope of the troop increase he will request in the next few weeks.
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