AfPak Channel experts have sent in the following dispatches from their posts in Afghanistan, and we are updating as they come in. Some of these notes were taken from Twitter and
compiled here. You can also follow the AfPak Channel on Twitter for updates. All times are EST.
11:02am Alex Strick van Linschoten sent in this video of vote-counting in Kandahar.
10:26am Alex Strick van Linschoten sent in this video of today's polling in Kandahar.
10:12am Austin Long: Gilles, I think Karzai does have the support of the usual suspects in the south (e.g.
the Popalzai) but not the broader public. I also think you hit the nail on the
head on turn-out: it's probably low only in part because of security concerns
but mostly due to apathy and cynicism.
10:11am Gilles Dorronsoro, Mazar-i Sharif: I have two remarks/questions. One, is it so clear that Karzai has his core support in the south, considering the support of Dostum and Khalili? Two, the low turn-out is a victory for the Taliban, but in Mazar where the
security is perfect there seems to be a low turn-out. So some people
are not afraid of the Taliban, just cynical?
9:46am Alex Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
Karzai has observers at every station... 6,000 observers for Kandahar alone!
9:08am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Kandahar police chief stated that (as far as he knew) two children
and one adult died and two people were injured today in the province during
elections...
9:05am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
Rumors in Kandahar of Taliban hanging two people for
voting but can't confirm it and think it's just gossip and rumors...
8:58am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: All vote-counting
stopped by force in Spin Boldak by Commander Razziq...unsure what's going
on...will try to update when I hear more...
8:41am Brian Katulis, Kabul: The polling
centers I saw were a mix, got into a women's center (centers are gender
segregated) and there were long lines; the mood was festive.
8:35am Brian Katulis, Kabul: Checkpoints and restrictions on traffic made Kabul like a ghost town.
8:31am Brian Katulis, Kabul: I'm out at a live TV shot in Kabul and the streets which were empty for most of today are coming back to life.
8:22am Norine
MacDonald, Kabul:
I am just back from a day touring the polling stations. They are keeping some
open if there are people still in line. Kandahar
has said they will stay open til 5pm local time.
Just now two muschak/rockets landed
by the Election Commission office in Kandahar
apparently.
I asked each polling station I visited (some large and some small):
-Was the turn out what they were expecting -- all said no, they were overstaffed.
-What was the number of women compared to men --it was about 25 to 35 percent of the male turnout.
I was told again by our staff in the south that voter turnout was low and
female turn out very low.
The business about the ink was a small drama today. I went to
Bashardost's tent/office and they had the type of bleach they removed the
ink. I think perhaps there were some batches of ink that were bad and some not
-- nevertheless you had to have an uncut/unpunched voters' card to go with a
clean finger so I just don't see how it can result in a big movement in the
vote count. But surely that is bad management to have bad ink after all the
fuss UN made about the ink...more an embarrassment than something substantive I
think. Lots of confusion when I asked them
how the count would work. It often took a lot of conversation on their
end to decide what the answer was. In the end I would say they are indeed being
counted by the polling station staff with perhaps someone from head office
Elections Commission overlooking. Karzai had observers at each station but not
the other campaigns.
There were police at each polling station. The city is otherwise shut down and
the road very quiet and efficient roadblocks/searches underway.
There was no clear answer to how the results got to the Elections Commission or
whether they would be posted at each polling station.
I went to the polling station by the big refugee camp on the West side of the
city and the refugees were not arriving at the voting station.
I saw two European Union Election Observers at one station at the end of the
day who were going to watch the counting. They had not heard about the ink
issue so it seemed there was not communication between the observer teams about
checking this issue. Otherwise I did not see any foreigners at the polls.
I must say the folks running the polling station were very welcoming and proud
of their work, and working very diligently. They were more than pleased to
explain and talk about their work, their backgrounds etc. Heartwarming to see
really.
7:37am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Vote counting starts in Kandahar city...
7:35am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: One dead and three injured in latest attack on Kandahar, one source
states.
7:32am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Rocket just hit Kandahar
city.
6:38am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Kandahar city's biggest voting station has only had around 1800 so
far today.
6:30am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
Half an hour to go till end of elections. Really low
turnout all round...
5:01am Gilles Dorronsoro, Mazar-i Sharif: Baghlan-i jadid's
uluswali under attack but not taken by the Taliban. Mazar is quiet, but few people in the streets
or voting. The (real) turn-out could be a real victory for the Taliban.
4:39am: Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
"Now the campaign starts," say Kandaharis as they
start scrubbing 'indelible' ink from their fingers.
4:35am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
Razziq reportedly took all voting boxes into his
house in Boldak. Observers protesting in street outside.
3:40am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Explosion just now in Kandahar City
(sounded like an IED).
3:31am Norine
MacDonald, Kabul: Just talked to my staff in
Lashkar Gah, Helmand province. Multiple
rockets in town over night and this morning, causing two deaths and
injury.
Reports of disarray at the polling stations, and allegations of fraud causing
scuffles.
Only Shia (Hazara) women voting, no Pashtun women at the voting stations.
Police struggling with the situation (Lash is a small town). "Rumors"
of Taliban gathering across the bridge on the west side of town are making
people nervous.
I am trying to get more information on this as it could mean a bit of a dustup
in Lash today.
There is a British PRT in that town so lets see what they do. So far my staff
has not seen any sign of them yet -- they may be out of town at rural voting
stations.
Reports of fighting in Panjwai District of Kandahar and fighting closing the
road Kandahar
to Lashkar Gah (again).
Apparently Kai Eide visited a polling station in Kabul where BBC is set up only 4 voters
there. That was too bad...
3:09am Norine
MacDonald, Kabul:
Taliban are causing closing of voting centre in Paktiya and Logar.
Bashardost went to vote with some reporters and was able to wipe the ink
off his finger when it was still fresh. Mine is still on my finger but we are
going to try the Clorox test.
But they also cut the corner off the voting card so you
could only vote twiceif you
had more than one voting card... Still it is causing a bit stir. You really
need a lot of people properly trained and with double voting cards to pull of
any level of fraud that would affect the voting results in any significant way.
Bashardost wants election process stopped apparently.
It's a bit of a tempest in a teapot I think...but surely annoying when they
searched and paid for indelible ink.
2:49am Norine
MacDonald, Kabul:
Habibi is by Parliament Road,
where Karzai was to vote this morning. Will check it out.
The Tolo TV transmitters were down (who did that?).
Reports that New Baghlan district of Baghlan province has fallen to the
Taliban. This is about four hours north of Kabul, south of Kunduz, I think German NATO
territory.
2:44am Erica
Gaston, Pakistan: I am not in Kabul to verify (in Pakistan) but I have heard
reports of four attacks on polling centers in Kabul, including Habibi high school,
Naswani high school and AJQ mosque.
2:28am Norine
MacDonald, Kabul:
I just was in a big voting station in Five Hundred Families neighbourhood.
Actually very exciting to see it. Well managed and proud
Afghans.
I have my finger inked and some photos I will try and send
in.
A lot of excited and happy women voting on the women's side
also very orderly and well managed by elections commission female staff. They
said they were proud to be voting.
I did not see any other foreigners doing observation.
There was one incident with the police with three young men
removing the ink from their fingers with Clorox bleach. It seemed to work.
There was a scuffle and they arrested them.
There are some candidates with buses around the city giving
rides to the polls.
As I write this I hear a report of Taliban and police
fighting in eastern Kabul
so I'm going to check that out.
1:45am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Karzai campaigners handing out badges and Karzai baseball
caps at polling stations in Kandahar...
1:41am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Kandahar voting happening,
but not many people out on streets (especially compared to last
elections). Women's voting stations are
almost empty, apart from some non-Pashtuns.
There were rocket attacks early this morning around 6am, and one person
was killed while exercising on a hill where the rocket struck.
1:23am Norine
MacDonald, Kabul: I am out and about in Kabul checking voting
stations. Only small reports of gunfire in Khalifatullah so far. Apparently
some rockets and bombs in Kunduz and Kandahar.
Some line ups at orderly polls. Have not seen one woman voting yet.
12:42am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
Only 25% of the number of voters compared to last
election say local Kandaharis.
12:40am Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
"For $1,000 I have to get 1,000 votes." Conversation
overheard in Kandahar.
11:45pm Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
Walking around town to election stations. "At least
it's good exercise," said one.
11:40pm Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar:
Couple of dozen girls voting at one female station.
Most non-Pashtuns though.
11:37pm Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Two explosions heard in Kandahar city.
11:35pm Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Lots of people voting at Zahir
Shahi High
school in Kandahar
city.
11:32pm Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: No girls voting at one of the big female stations in Kandahar city.
10:35pm Alex
Strick van Linschoten, Kandahar: Lots more officials than voters at this station in Kandahar. But it's still
early...
We should be asking some critical questions about the now, much-publicized NATO and Afghan forces operation to take Marjah district in Helmand. For starters: How does this operation fit into the overall strategy for Afghanistan -- why Marjah and why now?
In restive provinces like Helmand and Kandahar, rallying the foot soldiers of the insurgency is simply never going to work, because they are fighting in defense of values -- such as Islam, and freedom from foreign occupation -- that they see under attack. Even if the coalition achieves limited tactical successes, the Taliban will quickly replace the fighters it loses, and it can easily target the "traitors." These coalition tactics are not new and have never worked before. Why does the White House think they'll work now, with the insurgency stronger than ever?
When the Karzai government announced last week that it would be reinstating Abdul Rashid Dostum, the controversial Uzbek general, as Chief of Staff of the Army, the cries of foul and protest rang loud. But, when it comes to Afghan politics there is usually more than meets the eye, and Dostum's case is no exception. As usual in Afghanistan it involves some back-room deals.
During last week's London conference, President Karzai unveiled a six-point "Action Plan" designed to turn around the situation in Afghanistan. But how much "action" is really behind the political façade of his six-point plan?
The Afghanistan Conference in London this week was expected to be a just one more in a series of international talk-fests intended as a show of international solidarity with Afghanistan. But Karzai took things a step further -- and took his hosts by surprise -- by using his speech to call for high level negotiations with the Taliban leadership that would result in permanent political reconciliation. Karzai has opened this door repeatedly before, and there have been several attempts to engage Taliban leaders seriously in talks.
Dependence cannot be ended overnight. But President Karzai’s circle is wrong to suppose that it can continue forever. It is far better, for Afghanistan’s long-term future, that they learn this sooner rather than later.
A December 22 briefing, prepared by the top U.S. intelligence official in Afghanistan and obtained by CNN, maps out the strategy and strength of the Taliban and their allies in Afghanistan, and concludes that the Taliban insurgency in Afghanistan is increasingly effective.
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